Assessing the Eagles' run blocking
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Assessing the Eagles' run blocking
Sheil Kapadia, Philly.com
There are some things that are extremely difficult to assess from watching a football game on TV and looking at the numbers afterwards.
The performance of defensive tackles. The route-running of wide receivers.
And the offensive line's success in the run game.
Sure, we can tell when Brian Westbrook gets the handoff whether he's got a hole right away or not. But unless you're breaking down film or watching the game from a coach's perspective on the sideline, it's tough to tell whether he chose the right hole or if the timing was off, etc.
Which brings us to a blog post from The Fifth Down, The New York Times' NFL blog.
Writer KC Joyner breaks down the Eagles' offensive line performance in terms of run blocking, using a POA win percentage. POA stands for point of attack. In Joyner's system, a POA percentage of 80 is the low-end acceptable number.
Here's his breakdown of the Eagles' individual offensive linemen from last season:
Tra Thomas - 86%
Todd Herremans - 88.6%
Jamaal Jackson - 89.3%
Max Jean-Gilles - 76.5%
Nick Cole - 81.1%
Jon Runyan - 83.6%
As Joyner points out, right guard (the spot filled by Jean-Gilles and Cole after Shawn Andrews' injury) was the weakest link in the run game, according to the numbers.
Drew Rosenhaus may not want to use Jean-Gilles' 76.5% win-rate when he tries to get his new client a better contract.
Joyner makes the argument that the Eagles' woes in short yardage last year were due to lapses from the tight ends and running backs, not the offensive line. He points out that they addressed those weaknesses by signing fullback Leonard Weaver and drafting Cornelius Ingram.
I agree with him on Weaver, but Ingram is an unknown commodity in terms of blocking.
And the offensive line of course will look different this year with Jason Peters replacing Thomas at left tackle, Shawn Andrews at right tackle and Stacy Andrews at right guard.
So what do you think of Joyner's breakdown?
***
Some other items of note:
** As some of the loyal readers may know, I'm in Portland, Oregon on vacation visiting my sister and brother in-law. Yesterday I caught that thrilling Phils game on, which started at 4 p.m. local time, on ESPN. Not sure I'd be able to deal with that during football season. Would have to be in front of a TV at 8 a.m. Sundays to catch the first pre-game show. Although Monday Night Football ending at 9 p.m. would make for less-tired Tuesday mornings.
** Stark contrast between the homeless in Philly and Portland. Not to make light of the situation, but here the homeless seem to travel with state-of-the art equipment. I noticed a group of six walking together and asked if they were "backpacking" through the city. I was told they were homeless, but they had what appeared to be top of the line backpacks, sleeping bags and camping material. Just an observation.
** In the middle of two football books I finally got a chance to delve into on the plane ride over. One is War Without Death: A Year of Extreme Competition in Pro Football's NFC East. Washington Post reporter Mark Maske takes a look at the major players in the division and the decisions they make during the 2006 calendar year. It's a great insider's look at how the division's most prominent names got to where they are, and how they run their franchises. I'll definitely be sharing some anecdotes from the book in upcoming posts.
** The other book is The Blind Side: Evolution of a Game by Michael Lewis. Lewis takes a look at the evolution of the left tackle, the growth of the passing game and the change brought on by devastating pass rushers. Much of the book focuses on the unbelievable story of first-round pick Michael Oher. Anyway, both are great and highly recommended.
** And finally, as you probably know by now, Pro Football Talk has formed a partnership with NBCSports.com. I have been an occasional contributor to PFT this year, but that will cease once they make the jump on July 1. Given my obligations at philly.com, I wasn't able to help out Mike Florio as much as I would have liked, and he'll now be able to get the occasional backup I provided from the folks at NBC. Thanks to Mike for the opportunity, and I look forward to seeing where he takes the site in the upcoming months.
Joyner's assessment is an interesting one. Certainly explains all those failed 4th and 1 attempts. But who knows how accurate he is or how much validity his "system" is. I agree with you in that he was off base with his opinion of Ingram. All evidence would suggest the contrary about his blocking ability seeing as though he didnt have to do it in college. Not to mention the fact that he's really learning how to come out of a 3 point stance for the first time.— aintezbeingreen- a real fullback should help a great deal.....McCoy is a question mark on his ability to learn and to actually block in this system.....the left side of the line may be okay.....but the right side...(Stacy's injury and pick up of the system....& Shawn's back and mental outlook and a switch to outside make)is a question mark......and it is way tooo soon to pencil in Ingram.......anything other than that is a guess...— nuggett
- What are the POA percentages on the new O-line?— krupps58
- What I took away from this: 1) It looks like Tra Thomas and Jamaal Jackson were a little better at run-blocking than many gave them credit for. 2) Todd Herremans is a stud (as many have started to notice) 3) OK, I wasn't the only one who thought that MJG struggled in run-blocking for a guy of his size. /// My thoughts: Celek should be better at blocking this year. At any rate, it's hard to believe he'd be worse than some of the blocks that LJ Smith whiffed on last year! Of course, Leonard Weaver should also be a better run-blocking FB than Dan Klecko or Tony Hunt.— knighn
- I don't think there would be any argument from the Eagles here, most of the runs were to the left side or up the (left) middle.— MidGreen
- Eagles run the ball? HA HA HA very funny— K333
- He mentions two of the three points I made starting in the fourth game last year: 1)No FB, 2)All tight ends are pass catcher-types, no good at blocking and,3) No RB that can run THROUGH somebody at the line. And before everybody gets excited about the prospects of running the ball this year, let me offer THIS: 1) The guy he got is not known PRIMARILY as a blocker. it's just something he can do....I sure hope so! 2) All our tight ends are pass-catchers, no real help in the run game....STILL! 3)We still don't have a pile-mover in the RB arsenal. Again, how many third and a foot, fourth and a yard situations must we endure without success this year??— TBear
- running the ball is the main reason some very good eagle teams these last ten years haven't been to more super bowls. they have never had that big back and still don't. dorsey levins was the closest they had and he was at the end of his playing days. i feel they will pick up another older back before september. that guy down in new orleans would be perfect for six or seven carries per game.— JACK V
- I put about as much stock in these numbers as I do in stats like range factor. It gives math geeks something to do but it's not really THAT useful from a football standpoint. Assigning wins in run blocking is sort of like assigning sacks given up. Oftentimes there is more than 1 person on the offensive line (or a TE or RB) responsible for the play. The inside guys are going to face more issues with run blitzers and they are facing the other team's run defenders while the tackles are matched up usually against pass rushers. The ability to win a particular battle throughout a game depends a lot on the skill on the other side of the ball. Guys like Jean-Giles or Cole only played part of the season and they may have played during certain games where the team was much more likely to run or much less likely to run based upon injuries and the quality of the opponent. So those guys have much smaller samples than the other guys on the line. Plus, what's considered a win? Is someone watching all of this film and subjectively determining who "won" a battle? The tackles often have TEs helping block and double-teaming a DE to try to seal the edge. So there are just way too many factors at play for this kind of self-created statistic to mean much.— JimG
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