If you're the Eagles and Andy Reid you look at the last three games and you say, "We should have/could have won all three games." It's a fair assessment. But they did not, and as Bill Parcells famously said, "You are what your record says you are." By that measure the Eagles are 1-3 and dangerously close to slipping into oblivion. If they lose to the Bills on Sunday you can kiss the playoffs goodbye, not because the Eagles are already mathmatically eliminated, but because, well, they just aren't good. But I don't think the ship will sink this weekend. I sensed a determined team at the NovaCare Complex this week. As much as many people wanted the Eagles to make drastic wholesale changes in personnel, coaching and scheme, they did not. It was the right move at this point. They can beat the Bills as is. It's just not going to look pretty. Buffalo will score points against a defense that can't stop the run for four quarters and one that will be without defensive end Trent Cole. But the Bills defense is as putrid and Michael Vick and company will zoom up and the down the field pretty much as they have all the season. The X factor is whether the Eagles have solved their red zone woes. They lead the NFL with 21 possessions inside the 20, but are 23d in the league after coverting only eight of those drives (38.1 percent) into touchdowns. It says here LeSean McCoy will hit pay dirt a few times, along with a couple of other players, and the Eagles live on -- at least for one more week. Eagles, 31-24.
What goes right: Alex Henery, after two costly fourth quarter field goal flubs last season, strikes back and converts on his first try.
What goes wrong: ... Or continues to go wrong. Nnamdi Asomugha will still struggle with his role in the Eagles' defensive scheme.