Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Phils slight NLCS favorites

A guy from Bodog sent me (and a few thousand other sportswriters, I imagine) some betting odds for the Phillies-Dodgers series.

Phils slight NLCS favorites

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Phillies starter Brett Myers and hitting coach Milt Thompson share a laugh before today´s workout at Citizens Bank Park. (Yong Kim / Staff Photographer)
Phillies starter Brett Myers and hitting coach Milt Thompson share a laugh before today's workout at Citizens Bank Park. (Yong Kim / Staff Photographer)

A guy from Bodog sent me (and a few thousand other sportswriters, I imagine) some betting odds for the Phillies-Dodgers series, and there is an anomaly in the numbers. The Phillies are listed as slight favorites in the series against the Dodgers -- Phils are minus-120, Dodgers are even -- but the Dodgers are listed as having a slightly better chance to win the World Series.

Series odds:

Red Sox.......7/4
Rays............5/2
Dodgers.......3/1
Phillies.........13/4

So, what gives? A Bodog executive is quoted on the release saying,  "Although the Phillies are favored over the Dodgers to win the NLCS, the Dodgers are favored over the Phillies to win the World Series. This seems to stem from a public perception that the new look Manny Ramirez led Dodgers are a legitimate threat to whichever team emerges from the ALCS. The same cannot be said for the Phillies, who the public seem to believe are too strong a favorite in the series. This belief most likely rises from the popular opinion that the Dodgers regular season record is somewhat deceiving, in that had they had Manny for the entire season, the Dodgers would have entered the NLCS as the team with the best record and thus would have been afforded home field advantage along with being the series favorite."

Make of that what you will. I have no earthly idea what this stuff means, other than that it's a close call.

Anyway, here are the odds on who will be the NLCS MVP. Knock yourself out:

Manny Ramirez 3/1

Brad Lidge 5/1

Chase Utley 5/1

Ryan Howard 5/1

Cole Hamels 6/1

Derek Lowe 7/1

James Loney 7/1

Jimmy Rollins 7/1

Jonathan Broxton 8/1

Matt Kemp 8/1

Pat Burrell 8/1

Russell Martin 9/1

Andre Ethier 10/1

Takashi Saito 12/1

Casey Blake 15/1

Jayson Werth 15/1

Shane Victorino 15/1

Field Even

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Rich Hofmann arrived at the Daily News in 1980 for a job whose status was officially designated as "full-time, temporary." A senior at Penn at the time, he was hired to fill in on the copy desk during a staff illness. The notion of him covering the Eagles or being a columnist did not exist in anyone's imagination. It was supposed to be six weeks and out, but he never left. It is only one of the reasons why so many people have concerns about him as a potential house guest. Rich has blogged the postseasons of the Flyers and Eagles. E-mail Rich at hofmanr@phillynews.com Reach Rich at hofmanr@phillynews.com.

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