Saturday, November 28, 2015

Eagles playoff odds: 1 out of 3

The Eagles have a one out of three chance of making the playoffs.

Eagles playoff odds: 1 out of 3


I had pulled the number out of my, uh, pocket the other day on Daily News Live, saying that I thought the Eagles had about a one out of three chance of making the playoffs with seven games left.

Turns out, my, uh, pocket has been vindicated by the number-crunchers at They update the playoff odds every week for every team, running some kind of simulation where they play out the season 10,000 times on their computer and commence ciphering.

Last week, before they lost to the Giants, the Eagles were slightly better than 50-50 to make the post-season. Now, with just that one loss, the number has plummeted to 34.9 percent. (By comparison, the Giants are 97 percent, the Redskins are 55.1 percent and the Cowboys -- despite the bravado of owner Jerry Jones -- are 2.5 percent.) How the Eagles could be about 15 times more likely than the Cowboys to get in makes me wonder, seeing as how they have the same record and the Cowboys already beat the Eagles, but ours is not the reason why. Ours is just to report what the computer says.

Anyway, one out of three.

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About this blog
Rich Hofmann arrived at the Daily News in 1980 for a job whose status was officially designated as "full-time, temporary." A senior at Penn at the time, he was hired to fill in on the copy desk during a staff illness. The notion of him covering the Eagles or being a columnist did not exist in anyone's imagination. It was supposed to be six weeks and out, but he never left. It is only one of the reasons why so many people have concerns about him as a potential house guest. Rich has blogged the postseasons of the Flyers and Eagles. E-mail Rich at Reach Rich at

Rich Hofmann Daily News Executive Sports Editor
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