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Saturday, October 31, 2009

You thought it was going to be a hitters' World Series between the Phillies and the Yankees. I thought it was going to be a hitters' World Series. Phils manager Charlie Manuel thought it was going to be a hitters' World Series. So far, though...

"I thought, if you had asked me before the series, I thought...this was going to be a series were one of either two teams hit," Manuel said before Game 3. I felt like whoever won the series...that the team was going to kind of hit a lot and score a lot of runs. So far, on both teams, it's been -- the pitching has been very good. It's been outstanding. And when I say that, the pitching has been what you call World Series or playoff pitching..."

For Game 3, though, that could change.

The history is somewhat limited, but a few Yankees have eye-popping numbers against Phillies starter Cole Hamels -- not a lot of power, but a lot of contact. Johnny Damon has hit .600 against Hamels in 7 plate appearances, Derek Jeter .571 in 7 PA, and Melky Cabrera .500 in 6 PA. Mark Teixeira has hit .294 against Hamels with 2 HR and 5 RBI in 17 PA. Again, very limited numbers -- but it's all we have. As a team, the Yankees have hit .286 off of Hamels.

As for the Phillies, their numbers against Yankees starter Andy Pettitte are a little bit more extensive, but only a little -- and they are grimmer. The Phillies have a team batting average of .219 against Pettitte. Ryan Howard is 1-for-9 lifetime, Jayson Werth 1-for-13 (a home run). Werth, Raul Ibanez, Jimmy Rollins and Carlos Ruiz each have a single home run off of Pettitte. And that's about it.

If the Phillies are going to get to Pettitte -- and they are going to have to get to him, or likely have a real problem winning this series -- it will be by killing him with patience, hoping that home plate umpire Brian Gorman doesn't have too generous a strike zone, and then pouncing on the mistakes that will not arrive with a lot of velocity.

Again: the Phillies' bats awaken tonight or this gets very, very difficult.

Posted by Rich Hofmann @ 6:11 PM  Permalink | 7 comments
7
Comments   
Posted 06:26 PM, 10/31/2009
Phillyrussian7
Nice column!
Posted 06:42 PM, 10/31/2009
catnameddomino
Pettitte has been one of the most overrated starters in recent years. I know that he has performed very well in some big games, which is where his reputation comes from, but he has also stuck it up a number of times as well. Let's not give him a pass either for PEDs although most of the media has already forgotten that. Keep in mind that he is a game under .500 in his career in the World Series, which is the biggest stage of them all. I think the Phillies can get to Pettitte and beat him as long as they work the count and are willing to go the other way on his outside pitches.
Posted 07:22 PM, 10/31/2009
smitty110
I don't care for your... writing... the way you.. punctuate is... it's choppy and unpleasant... to read... but anyway... LETS-GO-PHIL-LIES ... !!!! ... !!! ... !!!
Posted 07:50 PM, 10/31/2009
Bobphxville
I think the Philles chances sunk the minute Cholly decided to not start Lee in game 4.
Posted 08:03 PM, 10/31/2009
crohnkiller
The starter in game 4 may change now if this game is postponed and if the Yankees end up winning game 3. I just want to WATCH THEM PLAY!! RAIN, RAIN GO AWAY!!
Posted 08:03 PM, 10/31/2009
vafan
Bob - seriously. Why are you asking for Lee? We have other pitchers and Lee needs rest. You don't trust Charlie to make the right call? Are you the type to panic so quickly? I bet you were saying the Phillies were going to sweep once we won game 1, right? Relax and let things play out.
Posted 08:12 PM, 10/31/2009
PhilaLogic
Yeah, Bob. You're just looking at the name "Cliff Lee." Look at the facts. Starters in the playoffs on 3 days' rest in recent years have something like a 4.20 ERA (it was in the Daily News last week). Considering that those are most likely aces and top-of-the-rotation guys, it proves you're almost always not getting what you thought you'd get. Charlie knows this.
About Rich Hofmann
Rich Hofmann arrived at the Daily News in 1980 for a job whose status was officially designated as "full-time, temporary." A senior at Penn at the time, he was hired to fill in on the copy desk during a staff illness. The notion of him covering the Eagles or being a columnist did not exist in anyone's imagination. It was supposed to be six weeks and out, but he never left. It is only one of the reasons why so many people have concerns about him as a potential house guest. Rich has blogged the postseasons of the Flyers and Eagles.

You can now follow The Idle Rich on Twitter.