Monday, October 5, 2015

Toomey v. Specter: All square in the race for U. S. Senate, poll finds

Toomey v. Specter: All square in the race for U. S. Senate, poll finds



Pat Toomey has drawn into a statistical dead heat with Arlen Specter – 44-45 percent -- in the race for a U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania, according to a poll released this morning by Quinnipiac University.

And, perhaps worse for Specter, who switched to the Democratic party earlier this year, the poll also found that voters by a 49-40 margin believe he doesn’t deserve re-election.

Specter’s lead over the Toomey, a conservative Republican, has steadily evaporated over the past several months, according to Quinnipiac polls. In May it stood at 53-33 percent.

“Voters see Sen. Specter much less favorably than they once did and are net negative about giving him a sixth term in the U.S. Senate,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

But on the plus side, Specter is doing well within his new-found party, leading U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak 55-23 percent in the race for the Democratic nomination, the Connecticut university’s survey showed.

The poll also found that Pennsylvania voters still give President Obama a high approval rating, 56-37 percent, although it’s down from the 62-31 percent he enjoyed in late May.

U.S. Sen. Robert Casey has a 53 – 25 percent job approval rating, according to the poll. It was conducted from July 14 – 19, surveyed 1,173 Pennsylvania voters and has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.


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Commonwealth Confidential gives you regularly updated coverage of the state legislature, the governor and the workings of the state bureaucracy. It is written by Angela Couloumbis in the Inquirer's Harrisburg bureau, based in the statehouse, and by the newspaper's far-flung campaign reporters.

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