Monday, July 6, 2015

Rendell gets top marks among pundit prognosticators

You might not always agree with him, but dagnabbit, he's right - most of the time.

Rendell gets top marks among pundit prognosticators


You might not always agree with him, but dagnabbit, he's right - most of the time.

That's what a Hamilton College class says about former Gov. Ed Rendell's predictions. The public policy class and their professor analyzed the predictions of 26 pundits - who appear both in print and on news talk shows - between Sept. 2007 and December 2008, using a 1 to 5 scale to rate their accuracy.

They divided the pundits into three categories "the good," "the bad" and "the ugly."

New York Times columnist Paul Krugman scored the best in the "good" category, followed by Maureen Dowd and Ed Rendell. U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer (D., NY) and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi - liberals all - round out the top five. But more conservative columnists David Brooks and Kathleen Parker also got top ratings.

So who misses the mark most often? The "bad" category included New York Times columnists Thomas Friedman and Bob Herbert and Chicago Tribune columnist Clarence Page. At the bottom of the heap - known as "the ugly" were the likes of conservative columnist Cal Thomas and U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman.

But perhaps the kicker is in the college's press release headline: "Pundits predict no more accurately than a coin toss."

 Click here for's politics page.

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Commonwealth Confidential gives you regularly updated coverage of the state legislature, the governor and the workings of the state bureaucracy. It is written by Angela Couloumbis in the Inquirer's Harrisburg bureau, based in the statehouse, and by the newspaper's far-flung campaign reporters.

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