Monday, July 6, 2015

Rendell gets top marks among pundit prognosticators

You might not always agree with him, but dagnabbit, he's right - most of the time.

Rendell gets top marks among pundit prognosticators

0 comments

You might not always agree with him, but dagnabbit, he's right - most of the time.

That's what a Hamilton College class says about former Gov. Ed Rendell's predictions. The public policy class and their professor analyzed the predictions of 26 pundits - who appear both in print and on news talk shows - between Sept. 2007 and December 2008, using a 1 to 5 scale to rate their accuracy.

They divided the pundits into three categories "the good," "the bad" and "the ugly."

New York Times columnist Paul Krugman scored the best in the "good" category, followed by Maureen Dowd and Ed Rendell. U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer (D., NY) and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi - liberals all - round out the top five. But more conservative columnists David Brooks and Kathleen Parker also got top ratings.

So who misses the mark most often? The "bad" category included New York Times columnists Thomas Friedman and Bob Herbert and Chicago Tribune columnist Clarence Page. At the bottom of the heap - known as "the ugly" were the likes of conservative columnist Cal Thomas and U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman.

But perhaps the kicker is in the college's press release headline: "Pundits predict no more accurately than a coin toss."

 Click here for Philly.com's politics page.

0 comments
We encourage respectful comments but reserve the right to delete anything that doesn't contribute to an engaging dialogue.
Help us moderate this thread by flagging comments that violate our guidelines.

Comment policy:

Philly.com comments are intended to be civil, friendly conversations. Please treat other participants with respect and in a way that you would want to be treated. You are responsible for what you say. And please, stay on topic. If you see an objectionable post, please report it to us using the "Report Abuse" option.

Please note that comments are monitored by Philly.com staff. We reserve the right at all times to remove any information or materials that are unlawful, threatening, abusive, libelous, defamatory, obscene, vulgar, pornographic, profane, indecent or otherwise objectionable. Personal attacks, especially on other participants, are not permitted. We reserve the right to permanently block any user who violates these terms and conditions.

Additionally comments that are long, have multiple paragraph breaks, include code, or include hyperlinks may not be posted.

Read 0 comments
 
comments powered by Disqus
About this blog

Commonwealth Confidential gives you regularly updated coverage of the state legislature, the governor and the workings of the state bureaucracy. It is written by Angela Couloumbis in the Inquirer's Harrisburg bureau, based in the statehouse, and by the newspaper's far-flung campaign reporters.



Commonwealth Confidential
Also on Philly.com
letter icon Newsletter