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Friday, April 30, 2010

Sen. Arlen Specter's lead over Rep. Joe Sestak in the Democratic Senate primary has dwindled to 9 percentage points, according to a just-completed poll conducted for another campaign.

Specter led 47 percent to 38 percent in the survey of 600 likely primary voters interviewed by telephone on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. A little over a month ago, a poll for the same campaign found Specter with a 23-point advantage, leading Sestak, 52 percent to 29 percent.

Interestingly, almost all of Specter's advantage in the more recent poll comes from African Americans. The poll found the race essentially tied among white Democrats, (44 to 42 percent, Specter) but Specter had a 4 to 1 lead among blacks - 67 percent to 16 percent.

That makes good African American turnout, particularly in Philadelphia, a key part of any Specter victory scenario.

Today, Specter's campaign began airing an advertisement featuring President Obama on black radio stations in the city. And Sestak went to West Philadelphia to discuss policies to encourage job development.

Posted by Thomas Fitzgerald @ 6:21 PM  Permalink | 10 comments
Comments   
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:54 PM, 04/30/2010
    "Today, Specter's campaign began airing an advertisement featuring President Obama on black radio while Sestak went to West Philadelphia to discuss policies to encourage job development" - Based on this alone, it's fairly easy to decide in favor of Sestak.
    PhillyTru
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 7:06 PM, 04/30/2010
    Arlen is in trouble. he can't stay over 50%.....Joe Sestak for Senate !
    willll
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:17 PM, 04/30/2010
    Specter's been mudslinging against Sestak since Day 1. I guess now that he's losing ground he'll get even sleazier. You can take Arlen out of the Repub Party, but you can't take the Repub Party out of the man.
    Montco PA Dem
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:25 AM, 05/01/2010
    do not understand why Arlen is against Sestak so much now...he voted to confirm Sestak as an admiral three times (each star), shok his hand and praised him...what a weeny Arlen is...Joe...Admiral...Congressman...Let's finally retire the Specter Vermin...so tired of Specter hypocrisy
    Suburban Dem
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:55 AM, 05/01/2010
    All voter's black and white, are aware of the self rightous Arlen Specter. He has done little for the poor and out of work in Philly, while his UNION friends blockade blacks from trade jobs. Stop and ponder that a minute, he's up in his tudor East Falls home, with a cop sitting outside his house as is Rendell. Anyone drive down Warden Drive lately? What you'll see is a road like no other in town. Speed bumps galore, and quality laid. What do small streets get, pot holes and piled up snow.
    FJG JR
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 10:01 AM, 05/01/2010
    That's an awful lot of analysis on a 600 person base. My experience in an urban school has made me unaware of the color of the skin of the person I'm talking. Injecting race into political analysis is unproductive. In fact, I just noticed now that the Inquirer team is all white. The Inquirer needs to get more diverse.
    John Scanlon
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:51 AM, 05/02/2010
    I was offended by Specter calling the Tea Party a GANG, does that mean any group that is organized and voicing an opinion a GANG? DO we have the illegal alien GANG now and the Gay Rights GANG. TO me the use of the word GANG has a negative connotation and for Arlen to not be sensitive to his choice of words means time to go into another line of work. He can join the looking for work GANG like so many others in Pennsylvania. I will take the candidate that can appeal to everyone and not the old school DC GANG. Bye Arlen enjoy retirement, move to Florida and start a golf GANG.
    TKLovell08
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:50 AM, 05/02/2010
    Reelect Specter and he might decide that he wants to represent Colorado instead of Pennsylvania in the Senate. Would you trust this man to borrow your family car?
    Delaware Jim
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:36 AM, 05/03/2010
    The bottomline on Specter is he has betrayed sacred public trust FOR YEARS. He was told two years ago about Rendell killing people and destroying families by releasing about 100,000 State Prison Inmates and NOT returning them to prison for serious Parole Violations SINCE 2003! Rendell did this to save MILLION$ in State Budget Funds for his infamous "No Bid and Inappropriate Contracts" to campaign contributors, his old law firm (that pays him $250,000 per year for no work)and "friends". Murder victim after murder victim, destroyed family after destroyed family Specter did NOTHING! He couldn't even be bothered to hold one of his phony "Hearings". He's a sad, stale, useless joke that needs to fade away. What vile men they both have repeatedly proved themselves to be... and what of our State Legislature, State Attorney General, Mayor and City Council, all have betrayed us for years, even when given evidence (like a UNBELIEVABLE 67% Prison Release Rate, like Daniel Giddens (COP KILLER'S) prison record (kicked out of 3 prisons, over 500 days "in the hole", etc)Plus scores of other examples that read almost as scary, Philadelphia State Parole Agents caseloads (3 times that of other states)! For the love of God and all the innocent dead... vote out these vile traitors! Where the hell is Eric Holder (U.S. Attorney General), "Mr. Civil Rights Protector"? Where the hell is the FBI's "Civil Rights Division"? Get up off your butts and start saving lives and families! SEVEN YEARS OF DEATH IS ENOUGH!
    John Law


10 comments
About Commonwealth Confidential team
Commonwealth Confidential gives you regularly updated coverage of the state legislature, the governor and the workings of the state bureaucracy. It is written by correspondents in the Inquirer's Harrisburg bureau, based right in the statehouse, and by the newspaper's far-flung campaign reporters.

Angela Couloumbis (left) joined The Philadelphia Inquirer in 1998, and has covered government and politics in New Jersey, Philadelphia and throughout Pennsylvania, including Gov. Rendell’s 2006 race against former Pittsburgh Steeler Lynn Swann.

Amy Worden (right) joined the Inquirer in 2000 and has covered governors, gubernatorial races, U.S. Senate races and three presidential campaigns. When not covering politics she can be found filing dispatches from disaster scenes or digging into local stories of national import.