Friday, February 12, 2016

Women in the Driver's Seat

One clear aspect of new polls in key states is that women are driving the race toward Obama.

Women in the Driver's Seat


As still more new polls emerge from key states such as Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, one very evident and consistent aspect of the race is that women voters are driving the numbers that favor President Obama.

Take the findings of a Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll released Wednesday morning.

The poll shows the president extending his lead over Mitt Romney in all three states:

FLORIDA: Obama 53 – Romney 44

OHIO: Obama 53 – Romney 43

PENNSYLVANIA: Obama 54 – Romney 42

And he's ahead on every issue voters were polled about -- the economy, Medicare, health care, national security, international crisis and immigration -- except for deficit reduction.

But perhaps the key finding in the poll is that women in all three states back Obama in big, big numbers. This is key because there are more women than men in America and because years of exit polling show more women vote than men, both in raw numbers and in higher percentages.

According to the Quinnipiac poll:

In Florida, women likely voters back Obama 58-39, a 19-point spread.

In Ohio, women likely voters back Obama 60-35, a 25-point spread.

In Pennsylvania, women likely voters back Obama 58-37, 21-point spread.

Quinnipiac is a major, respected poll. The gender-gap in politics isn't new. You'd think the Romney campaign would have aimed at closing it long ago. The fact that it appears to be widening tells us two things: the Romney campaign just doesn't get it; and women are in the driver's seat.

Daily News Political Columnist
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About this blog
John Baer has been covering politics and government for the Daily News since 1987. The National Journal in 2002 called Baer one of the country's top 10 political journalists outside Washington, saying Baer has, "the ability to take the skin off a politician without making it hurt too much." E-mail John at

John is the author of the book "On The Front Lines of Pennsylvania Politics: Twenty-Five Years of Keystone Reporting" (The History Press, 2012). Reach John at

John Baer Daily News Political Columnist
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