Thursday, November 26, 2015

Obama Beatable in PA?

A new poll shows PA voters think Obama should not be reelected -- until you match him with a Republican candidate.

Obama Beatable in PA?


(A brief discussion twixt Baer & Baer's editor, a.k.a. BE)

JB: Good news/bad news for Obama in Pennsylvania, boss. A new Quinnipiac University poll released today says a majority of state voters (52 %) don't think the president deserves to be reelected.

BE: Is that the good news or the bad news?

JB: You're a funny guy, you know that? That's the BAD news for him.

BE: Well, you know, the economy's still in the toilet, the new "deal" on the debt ceiling will kill jobs, not create them, and any incumbent suffers when peoples' pocketbooks are hurting.

JB: All true, but there's also good news for the O man.

BE: What is it? He gets to have a nice 50th birthday celebration Thursday back in Chicago?

JB: Well, yeah, that; but also (a) the election isn't this year and (b) when Quinnipiac stacks him up against known Republican candidates, nobody outright beats him.

BE: Strange voters, them Pennsylvania voters.

JB: Apparently. Catch this. The poll's margin of error is 2.7 percent. If the election was today, only Romney holds an edge, but its only 2 percent, 44-42, a statistical tie.

BE: And the others?

JB: Your favorite, Rick Santorum, loses but only by 2 percent, 43-45, a statistical tie. And Obama beats Bachmann 47-39 and beats Texas Gov. Rick Perry 45-39. And I'd remind you, this is in the absence of a campaign in which Obama is expected to far outspend any opponent.

BE: Well, after Bachmann beats her headaches and bones up on her American history, and after Perry succeeds in seceding from the union all that could change. Plus, there's still time for my Rick to roll.

JB: Dude, the only place your Rick is rolling is downhill.

BE: So you're saying Obama isn't beatable in PA?

JB: I'm saying the Republicans have a problem. Anybody's beatable anywhere. But you need somebody to beat somebody. Right now, the GOP needs somebody.

BE: Maybe the Republican theme song should be "I Ain't Got Nobody."

JB: You're a funny guy, you know that? Grrr.


Daily News Political Columnist
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About this blog
John Baer has been covering politics and government for the Daily News since 1987. The National Journal in 2002 called Baer one of the country's top 10 political journalists outside Washington, saying Baer has, "the ability to take the skin off a politician without making it hurt too much." E-mail John at

John is the author of the book "On The Front Lines of Pennsylvania Politics: Twenty-Five Years of Keystone Reporting" (The History Press, 2012). Reach John at

John Baer Daily News Political Columnist
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