Friday, May 22, 2015

Corbett still #1

The Washington Post list of governor races still has Gov. Corbett as the nation's number one incumbent likely to lose his job.

Corbett still #1

On the heels of the first head-to-head post-primary poll in the Pennsylvania governor's race, The Washington Post still lists Gov. Corbett as the nation's number one incumbent likely not to remain an incumbent.

A Rasmussen Report poll released Sunday shows Corbett trailing Democratic nominee Tom Wolf by 20 points (51-31) with 14 percent undecided.

The poll says likely voters trust Wolf more than Corbett on social issues, ethics and on government spending and taxes. And it says while 83 percent of Democrats back Wolf, just 59 percent of Republicans back Corbett. And Wolf holds a 10-point lead among independents.

Yes, it's early. And, yes, polls in the absence of an actual campaign are notoriously unreliable. But there does appear to be a pattern here.

In a Post ranking of 15 gubernatorial races, Corbett remains at the top of the list of governor's seats most likely to change party control.

Here's what The Post says:

1. Pennsylvania (R): Now that Democrats have completed their messy primary, they can focus on Gov. Tom Corbett (R). Businessman Tom Wolf (D) has deep pockets but has said he's not going to self-fund in the general election. He remains Democrats' best hope for a pickup. (Previous ranking: 1)

The second and third most-endangered incumbents listed are, respectively, Republican Maine Gov. Paul LePage and Republican Florida Gov. Rick Scott.

You can read the full list here.





Daily News Political Columnist
About this blog
John Baer has been covering politics and government for the Daily News since 1987. The National Journal in 2002 called Baer one of the country's top 10 political journalists outside Washington, saying Baer has, "the ability to take the skin off a politician without making it hurt too much." E-mail John at

John is the author of the book "On The Front Lines of Pennsylvania Politics: Twenty-Five Years of Keystone Reporting" (The History Press, 2012). Reach John at

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