Saturday, February 13, 2016

Comfort for Corbett

While things look bad for incumbent Gov. Corbett, new polling actually offers a little comfort.

Comfort for Corbett

FILE - Gov. Corbett concludes his fourth budget address in the Capitol, Tuesday, February 4, 2014. Corbett is running for re-election. ( DAVID SWANSON / Staff Photographer )

New polling and national rankings on Pennsylvania politics sure make things look bleak for Gov. Corbett's reelection chances.

There's that National Journal offering that says Corbett's the nation's number one governor likely to lose among 15 state races looked at.

There's a new Quinnipiac University poll saying every Democrat in the Commonwealth beats Corbett in head-to-head competition.

(Okay, that's an exaggerating. The only Democrats beating him in the poll are those actually running for governor.)

And new polls from Harper and F&M say York County millionaire Tom Wolf leads the Democratic pack, which is not good news for Team Corbett. The incumbent would much prefer to run against someone from Philly who serves in Congress and is viewed as really liberal, and I think you know who I mean.

But, listen, there's some silver linings in all the dark clouds closing in around Corbett.

For one thing, while the latest Q-poll shows only 34 percent of voters think the Guv deserve reelection, that's a marked improvement from last month. Then, the F&M polled showed only 23 percent of voters though the Guv deserves reelection. He's on the move!

And, while the newest F&M poll shows Wolf surging, it also shows nearly half of Democratic voters undecided in the primary. There's still a chance, in other words, Corbett gets to run against that liberal congresswoman from Philly.

So, Corbett can take comfort that (a) he's bounced back 11 points in one month and there's many months to go, (b) Dems haven't yet picked a candidate and, therefore, could still tear each other apart and (c) before it's over, the Schwartz could be with him.





Daily News Political Columnist
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About this blog
John Baer has been covering politics and government for the Daily News since 1987. The National Journal in 2002 called Baer one of the country's top 10 political journalists outside Washington, saying Baer has, "the ability to take the skin off a politician without making it hurt too much." E-mail John at

John is the author of the book "On The Front Lines of Pennsylvania Politics: Twenty-Five Years of Keystone Reporting" (The History Press, 2012). Reach John at

John Baer Daily News Political Columnist
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