Friday, August 22, 2014
Inquirer Daily News

Tips will be accepted

The numbers, at first glance, blend in.

Tips will be accepted

The numbers, at first glance, blend in.

Officially, on sports gambling web site Bodog.com, there is no favorite in the Flyers’ second round series with the Bruins. It’s a pick ‘em.

The Flyers, though, have better odds to win the Eastern Conference:

Washington Capitals 7/5
Philadelphia Flyers 7/2
Boston Bruins 11/4

Tampa Bay Lightning 9/2

But both teams have the same odds to win the Stanley Cup:

Vancouver Canucks 11/4
Washington Capitals 4/1
San Jose Sharks 5/1
Detroit Red Wings 11/2
Boston Bruins 8/1
Philadelphia Flyers 8/1

Tampa Bay Lightning 12/1
Nashville Predators 14/1

Where the numbers start to raise questions, though, are in the prop bets with regards to specific player performance in the series:

Claude Giroux 2nd Round Points vs. Boston Bruins
Over/ Under: 5

Danny Briere 2nd Round Points vs. Boston Bruins
Over/ Under: 5

Mike Richards 2nd Round Points vs. Boston Bruins
Over/ Under: 4

Now, take a quick look at how each of those players performed last year against Boston in the second round:

Claude Giroux: 7 GP, 1 goal, 4 assists, 5 points
Danny Briere: 7 GP, 5 goals, 5 assists, 10 points (28 SOG)
Mike Richards: 7 GP, 3 goals, 6 assists, 9 points

Consider this: the Flyers were shutout in two of those games against Buffalo.

We don’t offer gambling advice on this web site. Despite what that guy on the other end of the 1-800 service is telling you, when he asks for money, there is no such thing as a "stone cold mortal lock." Clearly, any one of those players could have a down series. Giroux had 9 points in the first round, Briere netted 7, and Richards – who was held goalless – still collected 5 assists.

Where the eyebrow gets raised, though, is that the oddsmakers clearly believe the series is a toss-up, since they listed each team with the same series price. Wouldn’t that be a little bit of a hint that it could be a long series? Each game beyond four that the series goes, the less of a chance each one of those players doesn’t bust the over number in those prop bets. Right?

I guess that’s why they call it gambling. But the way we see it, it’s not going to be a short series – for either team. Even if Boston jumps out to a three games to none lead.

For the latest updates, follow Frank Seravalli on Twitter: @DNFlyers


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About this blog
Frequent Flyers is your home for news and analysis of all things orange and black. Reach Frank at seravaf@phillynews.com.

Frank Seravalli Daily News Sports Columnist
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