Posted: Thursday, March 12, 2009, 4:03 PM | 21 comments |
 
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Sorry for the absence. I was gone the last week for a sports conference in Boston: didn't make the trip to Memphis and then Oklahoma City. So last night's game -- a win over the Toronto Raptors -- was the first in about a week.

No question, the Sixers played well. But the Raptors are bad. It's tough after the 15-point loss in Oklahoma City to take much from last night's win. If they can beat Chicago tomorrow night (some tickets are still available for this Spectrum game) and win Sunday afternoon against the Miami Heat, then I'll start thinking about the possibility of a strong finish to this season.

Okay, so after last night's win, we were crunching some numbers for these last 20 games (76ers are currently 31-31). The Sixers have more games left than the rest of the contingent in the vicinity of the lower end of the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. If the Sixers can go .500 -- 10-10 -- the rest of the way, which is not a stretch considering they have a slew of games against some of the NBA's worst teams, Minnesota, Golden State, Sacramento, etc., it would be virtually impossible for them to miss the playoffs. The teams surrounding them, Milwaukee, Chicago, etc., must have records of, say, 13-5, 10-4 etc. to push the Sixers out of the playoffs. Thus the headline for this blog.

At this point, and as the games continue to be checked off and it becomes more and more clear that the team will be in the playoffs this season, the issue becomes: What does it matter? Can they make anything of it? How can these final 20 games, plus (most likely) the playoffs, translate to future improvements? Can they make a postseason splash?

Look, there might be folks out there who believe that once the Sixers are in the playoffs that anything is possible, but the reality is with a 6, 7, or 8 seed in the Eastern Conference, you're playing either Cleveland, Boston, or Orlando. Yes, absolutely, anything is possible. But unless they can stay out of the last three spots (gonna be tough to do), it's a first-round exit. At this point it makes more sense to look at these last 20 games and make some observations.

1.) Samuel Dalembert. He played very well last night: 19 points, 13 rebounds. But that means nothing. Dalembert has a history of sprinkling in these types of games. He did look especially intense last night, although that could have been me paying extra attention. Right now, Dalembert's on-court reputation has been challenged. (Absolutely not his off-court reputation, as he has done phenomenal things for his home country of Haiti and will be honored on Sunday for the NBA's Community Assist Award for February. Dalembert pledged $150,000 to UNICEF to assist Haitian families and children. That's awesome stuff.)

But on the court, these last 20 games, I think it will be interesting to see if he comes out with that same passion and fire that was clear last night, because when he does, he is crucial to the Sixers effectiveness. Before last night's game, he was working a little bit with Moses Malone, and he looked unstoppable on the court. Will that be a flash in the pan? Or will we see him remain focused for a full 20 games? 

2.) Marreese Speights. It isn't charity playing time for which Sixers fans are begging. I think there is a legitimate contingent of Sixers folks who believe the rookie should play more, and not just to see what they have, but because they've noticed he has been a part of big wins. I'll be interested to see how Tony DiLeo and the Sixers use Speights down the stretch.

3.) Three-point defense. The Sixers have said they were going to make adjustments and really focus on the three-point defense. I'd love to be able to have witnessed exactly what changes they made, but practices are closed until free throws at the end. From what DiLeo has said, they have watched film, discussed its importance, tried to show film on when the help was coming from the wrong place, when the help stayed too long, when the rotations were late or miscommunicated. How will this translate down the stretch? If we see same-old, watch out in the playoffs. If the Sixers end up with Orlando -- they have three legitimate outside shooters. Unless the Sixers truly do make adjustments, they will not be able to beat Orlando. They probably can't anyway.

4.) Lou Williams. He's an off-the-bench key. How is his shooting going to be these last 20 games? Last night, he looked aggressive going to the hoop -- as did all the Sixers. Is he going to fade down the stretch? I doubt it. He works hard. He seems to enjoy the game. He seems to be fine in big moments. My money is on Lou's game improving this last stretch.

But what do these things mean? What does this season mean? Perhaps these are questions for an end-of-season post, but at that point basketball will be over. How, with 20 games left, can the Sixers make this a successful season in the minds of their fans? 

A playoff berth?

Winning a couple of games in the first round series? 

Winning a series? 

It all starts in this final segment of games. In my opinion, I don't think it's about winning a playoff series. It seems, right now, fans are frustrated with the inconsistency and effort night-in, night-out. Correct me if I'm wrong. But I think the issue in this final segment is feeling some sense of passion for what they want to accomplish. Coming out of the break, the Sixers had a clear chance to get a 4 or 5 seed. Whether it was better opponents, mental lapses, whatever string of excuses the Sixers offered on a daily basis, the goal just slipped through their fingers, without much accountability as to why. And maybe they didn't know why. 

But now there are 20 games left. And the Sixers need to play those 20 games not like they need to finish 10-10 and slip into the playoffs. Because if that's how they play these 20 games, they'll slip out of the playoffs as fast as they slipped into them. And don't think it won't have an effect as they try to generate interest for next season.

--Kate

 

Posted by Kate Fagan @ 4:03 PM  Permalink | 21 comments
21
Comments   
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:31 PM, 03/12/2009
    I would rather the sixers tank the last 20 games and try to get great lottery pick then be 6-8 spot in the playoffs
    cusoraider
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:38 PM, 03/12/2009
    Nice blog. Missed seeing your thoughts. I am a season ticket holder who is not sure what to do next year. These next 20 games will make the decision clear. If the sixers want to have fans next year, they need to 1. Finish the year strong 2. Lay on eggs, even when losing. 3. Play M16 more and Reggie less (unless they are behind). Reggie has an important place but not when the games are close or they are winning.
    dharner
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:41 PM, 03/12/2009
    Kate. Before this past February, I had said this team would get the 4 or 5 seed. Now I'm not sure they will even make the playoffs. Except for last night, the way they have played the past month, you can't say they are a lock to win 10 of 20, espcially with a Western swing coming up (and a loss to Bulls at Spectrum would be devestating, and Miami is real good lately). Even if we can get those 10 wins, we likely can't win a series against the top 3 eastern conference teams. So what to do? Maybe Ed needs to go a G.M.A. meeting (General Managers Annonymous), stand up before the crowd, and admit the problem: "I'm not a title contender," "I'm not a title contender." Admitting you have a problem is half the battle. So why not experiment? See what you have so you can tinker with this team in the offseason to get it "right" for the start of next year. Move Iggi to the 2, play Thad at the 3, start Marreese at the 4, give Willie the 6th spot, and groom Lou more slowly. At the very least, you can start to answer the question of what to do with 2 very good SFs in Thad and Iggi for next year? Don't experiment coming into a new season when Brand returns, do it now, while you have a chance and risks are little....
    Fo Fo Fo
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:47 PM, 03/12/2009
    Sammy - quite honestly, I'm fed up with him. These games where he comes out feeling like he as something to prove just makes it worse, because it then seems like he's mailing it in the rest of the time. The argument that his saving grace is rebounding does not apply if he's averaging less than 10 on the year, IMO. Speights - I think he should play more time, but im not hung up on him starting. With Brand entrenched as our starting 4 for the forseeable future, I'd rather see speights working in at 5 than starting at 4. 3 point defense - I'll believe it when i see it. Lou - I'm not worried about his shot. It comes and goes, like with many guys. I'm more worried about his floor game. He has been commiting bad turnovers again, and generally making poor decisions. This is worse than being in a shooting slump. I reserve comment on how to get me excited about this team again for now...mostly because i think i've said enough negative things for a day.
    K,M
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:52 PM, 03/12/2009
    kate: interesting (in the good sense) points to consider as the final 20 roll on. 1) dalembert-at this juncture it seems his play is more of an audition for a future home unless the team and he are on the same page going forward. as this team is configured (and even more so with brand next year), difficult to see how either the team or he will be happy. i think he brings a lot to the table but the inconsistency (regardless of how much of it is the team and how much is him) almost dictates a change of address if a fair deal can be made. 2) speights clearly needs more time-with the sixers treading water, he must gain valuable on-court experience now. and while he has lapses/down games, it's important for him to play through those periods now. 3) three-point/inside defense: i'll believe it when i see it. don't like to be critical but it is amazing we have such weaknesses in these areas-just fundamentals that absolutely must change if this team goes anywhere this year (doubtful) or next year (hopeful!). 4) williams has so much potential but as with the defense and sam, the results are not dependable. consistently fails to play a team game despite his talent and enjoyment of playing. hope i'm wrong b/c the ability is there-it'd be a great sign if he puts it together on a regular basis down the stretch. still waiting for those photos-even if it's boston in the snow...!
    127sixer59
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 5:07 PM, 03/12/2009
    What the 76ers need to down the strech of these 20 plus games is simple! Play great team defense which means everybody has to attack the glass. Play Dummybear 25 to 35 minutes because you need his defense. Attack the basket and just make shots !!! Especially free throws !!! Iggy has to take over and be the man, it time IGGY !!!
    Moneymaka53
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 5:35 PM, 03/12/2009
    Reduce ticket prices to $10 for remaining home games. That is the only way to increase attendance. Winning teams would get the fans, but this team is too mediocre. Next year when Andre Miller signs with the Celtics, the Sixers will struggle to get 20 wins. Where is the young point guard to be mentored this year? And don't say Lou Williams
    Sports4Life
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:04 PM, 03/12/2009
    Kate's writing is the best part of following this team. It's honest, angaging, and thoughtful.
    prudential2
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:46 PM, 03/12/2009
    Kate - another great article. I totally agree with your points on Dalembert and the 3 point D. But, I don't have a lot of hope for this season. We are a .500 team. I think that, given our personnel, that's about what we can expect, along with a first round playoff exit. It's a young team, and even when we had Brand I thought it was going to take some time to develop. When he went down, it just set back the timeline. I think our streaky January fooled us into having higher expectations for this team, but with the let-up of the break and the trade deadline passing, I think the wind left our sails. This year is treading water, my focus unfortunately is on next year.
    FKD215
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:49 PM, 03/12/2009
    Kate - good work - maybe you should now challenge Lou - I think be played better last year. Glad to know you were here in Bosten(I've been here 30 yrs, therefore don't get to hear or watch my 76'ers) when I though you had disapeared. russ
    russ4philly
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 7:23 PM, 03/12/2009
    Kate, great job getting Sammy to play hard at least for one game... if he spent his much time learning the nuances of his job as with his off the court endeavors we'd really have something.. If the Sixers can't finish 5th and play Atlanta in the 1st round, it'll be 4 game sweep at the hands of the Magic, Celts, or Cavs.
    drbob1
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:47 PM, 03/13/2009
    At MIT: www.sloansportsconference.com. Very interesting.
    Kfagan
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:41 PM, 03/13/2009
    Kate- welcome back. Some big names at that conference. Dalembert is the key. When he's motivated, he anchors a defense that can take chancees.
    buff1


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About John Mitchell
John Mitchell is in his first year covering the 76ers for the Inquirer after joining the paper in November 2011. He covered the Washington Wizards for the Washington Times from 1998 to 2008. He's also worked at the Philadelphia Tribune, the Wilmington News Journal, Courier-Post, Trenton Times and Elmira Star-Gazette.

Born and raised in West Philadelphia - not too far from Will Smith - he graduated from Overbrook High School the same year the 76ers won their last championship. He's a proud graduate of Howard University and the proud father of two sons, Jared and Jordan.

ABOUT MARC NARDUCCI

Marc Narducci has served in a variety of roles with the Inquirer since beginning in 1983. He has covered the 76ers as a backup and a beat writer. In addition, Narducci has covered everything from the Super Bowl to the World Series and a lot in between. Narducci also has a true passion for South Jersey scholastic sports, which he has covered for many years.

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