Obama tops Romney by 6 points in PA, new poll shows
President Obama continues to hold a lead in the 2012 presidential race in Pennsylvania over former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released this morning. But Obama still doesn't crack 50 percent in the state -- leading Romney 46-40. And registered voters polled said Romney would do better with the economy, by a margin of 49-41 percent.
Obama tops Romney by 6 points in PA, new poll shows
Chris Brennan
President Obama continues to hold a lead against former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney, according to the latest poll from Quinnipiac University. ( Carolyn Kaster)
President Obama continues to hold a lead in the 2012 presidential race in Pennsylvania over former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released this morning. But Obama still doesn't crack 50 percent in the state -- leading Romney 46-40. And registered voters polled said Romney would do better with the economy, by a margin of 49-41 percent.
Obama, who visits the Franklin Institute in Philadelphia this afternoon for three fund-raisers, leads among Pennsylvania women by 51-36 percent while Romney leads among men by 44-40 percent, the poll said.
The poll also found U.S. Rep. Bob Casey Jr. holding a strong 51-32 percent lead over his Republican challenger for a second term, former coal company owner Tom Smith of Armstrong County.
And the poll found Gov. Corbett hitting and all-time low in popularity, with 47 percent disapproving of the job he is doing and 36 percent approving.
Comments (40)
This comment has been deleted.— meagain
Comment removed.- The allegedly beloved incumbent is only six points ahead and can't break fifty percent approval? That's hardly a cause for anything but concern for Obama.— freesia
- The allegedly surging is six points behind and barely polls above 40%? That's hardly a cause for anything but concern for Romney.
— 1980 - political science 101, Dr Zaius: an incumbent running for re-election is in serious trouble when he cannot break 50%, as undecideds typically break for a challenger
— barry m goldwater - Nice pickup there on the photo! At what point does the incumbent have to break 50%? The day after inauguration? The 2-year point? Three months before the first debate? Every time there's a story about the President ahead in the polls, someone jumps on and says: "So what? It's only June." But the response to a story that confirms the President ahead, but not by a landslide: "He's done. It's June already." And I don't have time to research your assertion about what independents "typically" do -- personally, I think it's just as likely that they "typically" stay home, or go with the devil they know. However, I do know that "typically" is a hedge word, "typically" used by people who don't know for sure. — 1980
- i've repeatedly posted that i think obama will win Pa., and that Pa. is basically irrelevant to romney's chances (Bush 43 never won Pa. and was elected president twice). the election will be decided in Va., Ohio and Colo. (and maybe Nev.). and i think intrade.com has it right when it gives obama a 53% chance of winning. incumbent presidents rarely lose. and in the individual states obama has more room for error.
but the theory on undecideds breaking for the challenger is that they've already gotten to know the incumbent, and if they're not for him 4-5 mos. out, not much will make them change their minds to support him— barry m goldwater - I thought the theory was that whole purpose of presidential debates is to reinforce the faithful and sway the undecided. Your theory - and again, I don't buy it without reliable historic evidence because I have a strong suspicion you're making it up as you go along - would seem to suggest that large-scale advertising in the 3 or 4 months before the election is a waste, and that the money would be better spent on street level get-out-the-vote efforts, because everybody has already made up there mind. Remember Dukakis in his tank, and Benson demolishing Dan Quayle - both within 60 days before the election. — 1980
- bentsen demolished quayle and still lost the election, you damn dirty ape — barry m goldwater
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- That poll was probably taken in the cesspool that is philadelphia. Romney will end up winning PA— kenny.328.usa
- Right, political pollsters don't know the difference between 'Philadelphia' and 'Pennsylvania' because they're not as smart as you. — 1980
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- Polls are like the weather, they change from day to day. McCain was leading in the polls at this same time four years ago. We all know who one that election. I think a major factor will be who Romney chooses to be his running mate. If it is another Sarah Palin Mitt can forget it. I still can't get over that she can see Russia from her house in Alaska. McCain made a horribe choice. If the economy does not turn around dramatically by Novemer, President Obama has a major worry on his hands. I know too many people that lost their jobs over the last two years and are still unemployed. The Stimulus money has run out and most of the jobs it created are gone. At this point it is insane to keep blaming Bush. — Bob H
- Sorry....we all know who WON that eclection is what I meant. — Bob H
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- Sorry Meredith but you are wrong. Obama wants to return the American infrastructure is an argument for another day. This standing President is far worse than Carter. To talks out of both sides of his mouth. Bush has been out of office for 3 1/2 yers so I think Obama has had a lot of time to work on our economy. He promised change well he gave it to us. This great country is in trouble if he wins and I do not have to much faith in Romney either. God help us. — Bob H
- Below 50 percent and leading by 6 means this race is now a tossup. Obama is loosing ground fast in Pa considering the fact that most polls showed him up by 10-12% as late as last week. Pa in now officially in play and that is really bad news for Obama and the liberals in philly. Casey's fate will be tied to Obama. he won election as a moderate and showed himself to be a hard core liberal during Obama's run. He has NEVER voted against any major Obama bill and has never voted for the the positions he held in 2006. This race will be interesting since it will impact Obama-Romney and vice versa.— Dutch-wayne
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Romney is a Union Buster and will only hurt the Middle Class! They need to go back to bed with the far right Pedophiles! Obama is trying to fix the damage the GOP has done to this great country!- With the way Pohlman has been lobbying for this loser I should think he would be at least 20points ahead by now. I especially liked his Sunday collum of fabricated and totally unsubstantiated facts cheering for the head liberal, but according to him I have a reading impediment, and therefore I just don't get it.— rfitz
- Obama is going to run away with this election - and the reason why is that once the debates begin, the American public will realize that Mitt is
1. a puppet who will not commit to any position lest it alienate him with one group or other
2. has a tenuous grasp on our international policies
3. gets incredibly snippy when challenged
Romeny will blunder big time in the debates and it will lead to his downfall.— bingbangbong - Your three reasons describe obama perfectly. Denial is bad but delusion is catastrophic. Hopefully all the liberals are just as delusional.
- sadly Pa. has not gone red since 1988, so i don't think it can accurately be labelled a swing state. nonetheless, romney doesn't need to win Pa. to beat obama (Bush 43 won twice and never carried the commonwealth). with Fla. going for romney, ohio and Va. will decide the election IMO— barry m goldwater
- "leads among Pennsylvania women by 51-36 percent"...maybe giving them thr right to vote wasn't such a good idea after all.— jimmymack
- — bingbangbong, Mitt is a puppet? I am not sure who I am going to vote for, but one thing I have said over and over again, President appears to be a puppet. You state that Obama is going to run away with the election however, political experts say this is going to be a tough race and that THIS Summer will either make or break Obama. Too many jobs have been lost and he worries about gay union. If you are for that great, but I think Obama needs to set his priorities. When the President was running for election he did not know a thing about international policies so you can nix that from your list as well. Mitt gets snippy? Not sure what you mean but Obama does not get snippy he becomes arrogant. I think you are way off here. @barry m goldwater, you are 100% correct.— Bob H
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- Meredith, go back to bed you make no sense. Is he pro-life? I will give him a call and get back to you. I can assure you if he is not many will vote against him and many for him. — Bob H
- Only a fool would believe polls. Just look at how badly the reality in Wisconsin was compared to the "polls". They missed by a mile!
Obama is in deep trouble and he knows it, his personal cheerleading department called the "media" knows it and those who try to shape public opinion by these ridiculous polls know it.— kelprod2 - Comment removed.
Unless a poll is that of "likely voters" ( as opposed to "registered voters"...or even just open to all)...it is just about meaningless. Just as newspapers today no longer report the news, but serve to promote special interests as not just cheerleaders, but as shapers of opinion and propaganda, we now find polling companies prostituting themselves in the same manner. By toying with the language of the questions, or oversampling a group (and undersampling others) a poll can be skewed to provide the outcome that is desired. In many cases the goal is to 'dispirit' the opposition by making them think that the majority is against them. The "Exit Polls" in Wisconsin the other day had Scott Walker neck and neck with the opposition, when the reality was he handily defeated his Dem. challenger. Even the 2004 Presidential Exit polls showed Kerry winning.......and that was also a total failure in polling. Just a few weeks before the 1980 election, Carter was beating Reagan by double digits......and Carter was trounced. Don't put too much faith in polls of any kind....the majority have lost their integrity.— Alfred-King of Wessex- Comment removed.
- People are afraid to speak against obama because then you are ostracized as racist etc. The voting booth is private. There are no liberal fascists there to pile derision upon you.
- Romney will take Pa. The economy is still the biggest issue and Obama is going to pay the price. I doubt Romney or anyone else will fix it in 4 years; I'd expect a series of one termers for the next decade..........until there is a President with vision and guts to make the tough calls..........which I see no evidence of from either side.— Northcountry
- GOOD LUCK MR PRESIDENT— bigred46
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- I'm a rich white guy in the exclusive top 1% income club, so I'm voting for Romney. You losers in the 99% should vote for Mitt if you want rich white people like me to get even more tax breaks, because, you know, I'm a "job creater".— pic man
The gig is up for O'Failure. It is going to be a rude awakening in November when the ostriches working for this democrat newspaper have to report the absolute romping Obama takes.— Mr. Underhill
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David Gambacorta spent a small eternity writing about cops, drug dealers and serial killers. Now he’s writing about power and politics – which sometimes reminds him of the old crime beat. He joined the Daily News in 2005. And yes, he knows you’re not quite sure how to pronounce his last name. E-mail tips to gambacd@phillynews.com
Follow Dave on Twitter.
Jan Ransom, a native New Yorker, joined the Daily News in 2010 after graduating from Howard University. She has since written about the difficulty of filing police complaints, tax deadbeats and life after violent home invasions. She joined the Daily News City Hall Bureau in 2011 and has plunged headfirst into reporting on administration budget battles and City Council shenanigans. E-mail tips to ransomj@phillynews.com
Follow Jan on Twitter
Sean Collins Walsh is from Bucks County and went to Northwestern University. He joined the Daily News copy desk in 2012 and now covers the Nutter administration. Before that, he interned at papers including The New York Times, The Dallas Morning News and The Seattle Times. E-mail tips to walshSE@phillynews.com
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