Obama tops Romney by 6 points in PA, new poll shows
President Obama continues to hold a lead in the 2012 presidential race in Pennsylvania over former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released this morning. But Obama still doesn't crack 50 percent in the state -- leading Romney 46-40. And registered voters polled said Romney would do better with the economy, by a margin of 49-41 percent.
Obama tops Romney by 6 points in PA, new poll shows
Chris Brennan
President Obama continues to hold a lead against former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney, according to the latest poll from Quinnipiac University. ( Carolyn Kaster)
President Obama continues to hold a lead in the 2012 presidential race in Pennsylvania over former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released this morning. But Obama still doesn't crack 50 percent in the state -- leading Romney 46-40. And registered voters polled said Romney would do better with the economy, by a margin of 49-41 percent.
Obama, who visits the Franklin Institute in Philadelphia this afternoon for three fund-raisers, leads among Pennsylvania women by 51-36 percent while Romney leads among men by 44-40 percent, the poll said.
The poll also found U.S. Rep. Bob Casey Jr. holding a strong 51-32 percent lead over his Republican challenger for a second term, former coal company owner Tom Smith of Armstrong County.
And the poll found Gov. Corbett hitting and all-time low in popularity, with 47 percent disapproving of the job he is doing and 36 percent approving.
Comments (40)
This comment has been deleted.— meagain
Comment removed.- The allegedly beloved incumbent is only six points ahead and can't break fifty percent approval? That's hardly a cause for anything but concern for Obama.— freesia
- The allegedly surging is six points behind and barely polls above 40%? That's hardly a cause for anything but concern for Romney.
— 1980 - political science 101, Dr Zaius: an incumbent running for re-election is in serious trouble when he cannot break 50%, as undecideds typically break for a challenger
— barry m goldwater - Nice pickup there on the photo! At what point does the incumbent have to break 50%? The day after inauguration? The 2-year point? Three months before the first debate? Every time there's a story about the President ahead in the polls, someone jumps on and says: "So what? It's only June." But the response to a story that confirms the President ahead, but not by a landslide: "He's done. It's June already." And I don't have time to research your assertion about what independents "typically" do -- personally, I think it's just as likely that they "typically" stay home, or go with the devil they know. However, I do know that "typically" is a hedge word, "typically" used by people who don't know for sure. — 1980
- i've repeatedly posted that i think obama will win Pa., and that Pa. is basically irrelevant to romney's chances (Bush 43 never won Pa. and was elected president twice). the election will be decided in Va., Ohio and Colo. (and maybe Nev.). and i think intrade.com has it right when it gives obama a 53% chance of winning. incumbent presidents rarely lose. and in the individual states obama has more room for error.
but the theory on undecideds breaking for the challenger is that they've already gotten to know the incumbent, and if they're not for him 4-5 mos. out, not much will make them change their minds to support him— barry m goldwater - I thought the theory was that whole purpose of presidential debates is to reinforce the faithful and sway the undecided. Your theory - and again, I don't buy it without reliable historic evidence because I have a strong suspicion you're making it up as you go along - would seem to suggest that large-scale advertising in the 3 or 4 months before the election is a waste, and that the money would be better spent on street level get-out-the-vote efforts, because everybody has already made up there mind. Remember Dukakis in his tank, and Benson demolishing Dan Quayle - both within 60 days before the election. — 1980
- bentsen demolished quayle and still lost the election, you damn dirty ape — barry m goldwater
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- That poll was probably taken in the cesspool that is philadelphia. Romney will end up winning PA— kenny.328.usa
- Right, political pollsters don't know the difference between 'Philadelphia' and 'Pennsylvania' because they're not as smart as you. — 1980
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- Comment removed.
- Polls are like the weather, they change from day to day. McCain was leading in the polls at this same time four years ago. We all know who one that election. I think a major factor will be who Romney chooses to be his running mate. If it is another Sarah Palin Mitt can forget it. I still can't get over that she can see Russia from her house in Alaska. McCain made a horribe choice. If the economy does not turn around dramatically by Novemer, President Obama has a major worry on his hands. I know too many people that lost their jobs over the last two years and are still unemployed. The Stimulus money has run out and most of the jobs it created are gone. At this point it is insane to keep blaming Bush. — Bob H
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Chris Brennan, a native Philadelphian and graduate of Temple University, joined the Daily News in 1999. He has written about SEPTA, the Philadelphia School District, the legalization of casino gambling, state government, the mayor, the governor, City Council and political campaigns. E-mail tips to brennac@phillynews.com
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David Gambacorta spent a small eternity writing about cops, drug dealers and serial killers. Now he’s writing about power and politics – which sometimes reminds him of the old crime beat. He joined the Daily News in 2005. And yes, he knows you’re not quite sure how to pronounce his last name. E-mail tips to gambacd@phillynews.com
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Jan Ransom, a native New Yorker, joined the Daily News in 2010 after graduating from Howard University. She has since written about the difficulty of filing police complaints, tax deadbeats and life after violent home invasions. She joined the Daily News City Hall Bureau in 2011 and has plunged headfirst into reporting on administration budget battles and City Council shenanigans. E-mail tips to ransomj@phillynews.com
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Sean Collins Walsh is from Bucks County and went to Northwestern University. He joined the Daily News copy desk in 2012 and now covers the Nutter administration. Before that, he interned at papers including The New York Times, The Dallas Morning News and The Seattle Times. E-mail tips to walshSE@phillynews.com
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David Gambacorta spent a small eternity writing about cops, drug dealers and serial killers. Now he’s writing about power and politics – which sometimes reminds him of the old crime beat. He joined the Daily News in 2005. And yes, he knows you’re not quite sure how to pronounce his last name. E-mail tips to gambacd@phillynews.com
Follow Dave on Twitter.
Jan Ransom, a native New Yorker, joined the Daily News in 2010 after graduating from Howard University. She has since written about the difficulty of filing police complaints, tax deadbeats and life after violent home invasions. She joined the Daily News City Hall Bureau in 2011 and has plunged headfirst into reporting on administration budget battles and City Council shenanigans. E-mail tips to ransomj@phillynews.com
Follow Jan on Twitter
Sean Collins Walsh is from Bucks County and went to Northwestern University. He joined the Daily News copy desk in 2012 and now covers the Nutter administration. Before that, he interned at papers including The New York Times, The Dallas Morning News and The Seattle Times. E-mail tips to walshSE@phillynews.com
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