WASHINGTON -- Democrat Cory Booker has a commanding 64-29 lead over Republican Steve Lonegan in New Jersey’s U.S. Senate race with just over one month to go, according to a new poll of likely voters.
Lonegan, a former mayor of Bogota and longtime conservative activist, is struggling to break through with voters: 56 percent don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. Among those who know him, 22 percent see him favorably and 22 percent view him negatively, according to the Rutgers-Eagleton poll.
“Booker appears to be building an insurmountable lead,” said David Redlawsk, director of the poll and a Rutgers political scientist. “While special elections are notoriously hard to predict, given uncertainties about turnout, Booker’s name recognition, celebrity-type status and stances on issues that align more with New Jersey’s ‘blue’ political climate seem to be driving momentum toward him and away from Lonegan.”
Booker’s big advantage is reflected in a huge lead among women likely voters - 73-21. Among men he leads 55-23. He even has support from 19 percent of likely Republicans.
The poll surveyed 462 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.
The Senate election is Oct. 16.