OK, this is getting close.
President Obama now leads 50 percent to 46 percent in Pennsylvania as Republican Mitt Romney has narrowed a 12-point gap since September, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters released Tuesday.
Obama was up 54 to 42 percent in the state in the universities independent poll Sept. 26. The change comes even though neither campaign nor allied groups have advertised much on Pennsylvania broadcast TV, with no ads aired since late August.
Quinnipiac’s result tracks with the Muhlenberg College/Morning Call survey released Monday, which had Obama leading Romney 49 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in Pennsylvania.
White Catholic voters favor Romney 56 percent to 43 percent, the Republican’s strongest demographic support in the Quinnipiac Poll.
It finds that men back Romney 54 – 43 percent, while women favor Obama 57 – 39 percent, little changed from last month. White voters back Romney 53 – 43 percent, while black voters back Obama 97 – 1 percent. The president leads among voters with college degrees, 54 – 43 percent, while voters without degrees are divided: with 49 percent for Obama and 47 percent for Romney.
Only 7 percent of Pennsylvania likely voters say they might change their mind.
Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,519 Pennsylvania likely voters, with live interviewers calling both land lines and cell phones, from Oct. 12 through Oct. 14. Results are subject to a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent.