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Friday, May 24, 2013

Obama Tied With Romney in PA, OH, FL

President Obama tied with Republican Mitt Romney in the three swing states of PA, OH and FL, finds a new Quinnipiac University poll. The president leads all the other potential R challengers.

36 comments

Obama Tied With Romney in PA, OH, FL

POSTED: Thursday, November 10, 2011, 10:35 AM

President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney are tied in the crucial swing states of Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida, according to a new poll of the three battlegrounds released Thursday by Quinnipiac University.

The president leads all of the other potential Republican nominees in the three states, although half of the voters in each say that Obama does not serve reelection, the poll finds. Since 1960, no one has been elected president without winning at least two of the three states.

"His wide lead over most of the field and his neck-and-neck race with Romney show that the dissatisfaction with the president as evidenced by his mid-40s percent job approval and weak ‘deserves a second term’ ratings hasn’t translated into affection for his GOP challengers,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Obama would best former pizza executive Herman Cain in a hypothetical matchup, as well as Texas Gov. Rick Perry and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, two other GOP challengers who have been in the top tier in most polls. Pollsters sampled voters between Oct. 31 and Nov. 7,  before the latest revelations in sexual harassment allegations against Cain from when he was head of the National Restaurant Association, a lobbying and trade group, in the 1990s.

 

In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac found:

       Obama 44 percent to Romney’s 43 percent;

  • Obama tops Cain 48 – 38 percent;
  • Obama beats Gingrich 48 – 38 percent;
  • Obama bests Perry 47 – 38 percent.

In Florida, Quinnipiac found:

       Romney at 45 percent to Obama’s 42 percent;

  • Obama edging Cain 45 – 41 percent;
  • Obama at 45 percent to House Speaker Newt Gingrich’s 42 percent;
  • Obama over Texas Gov. Rick Perry 46 – 40 percent.

And in Ohio:

  • Obama at 45 percent to Romney’s 42 percent;
  • Obama topping Cain 48 – 38 percent;
  • Obama beating Gingrich 49 – 37 percent;
  • Obama over Perry 48 – 36 percent.

Here is some information on methodology and margin of error:

  • 1,185 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 513 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percent;
  • 1,312 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent, including 443 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent;
  • 1,436 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent, including 579 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percent.

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36 comments
Comments  (36)
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:00 AM, 11/10/2011
    Obama versus the clowns.
    taxmanndumbeth
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:13 PM, 11/10/2011
    we can't let obama "Sandusky" the country for four more years
    oliver north
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:08 AM, 11/10/2011
    Did you miss the part about "although half of the voters in each say that Obama does not serve reelection, the poll finds"? He's cooked.
    jimmymack
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:22 AM, 11/10/2011
    romney needs to stop obama from further destroying this country
    oliver north
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:18 PM, 11/10/2011
    Ironic coming from a moron with the name oliver north. Face it, Republican clowns lose again.
    taxmanndumbeth
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:37 AM, 11/10/2011
    Anytime an incumbent is held below 50% this far out before the election, it's good news for challengers. That's because the incumbent is pretty well known by the electorate. The challenger has room to increase his/her approval rating. The incumbent is stuck where he is.

    This is very good news for Republicans. Nice spin though, Tom, with the Peter Brown quote.
    yahzooman
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:08 PM, 11/10/2011
    The only real question that remains is who will be the Vice President in the Romney administration?
    Mr. Smith
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:19 PM, 11/10/2011
    Nobody likes a flip flopper. Romney is the white Obama but worse because he doesn't take one stand on any issue, he takes whatever side is convenient. Plus, he invented Obamacare. LOL. Suckers, enjoy losing......again.
    taxmanndumbeth
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:16 PM, 11/10/2011
    How does he score against Ron Paul?
    Public1
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:33 PM, 11/10/2011
    BTW, nobody cares about a nutjob like Ron Paul.

    You have to love the stupidity of this comment: "The challenger has room to increase his/her approval rating. The incumbent is stuck where he is."

    Um, that makes absolutely no sense. It's so dumb on so many levels.
    taxmanndumbeth
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:43 PM, 11/10/2011
    I didn't think it would be possible for a president to be worse the Bush. But somehow Obama has managed to do it.
    mvp15
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:17 PM, 11/10/2011
    Can you please explain how ?
    POLICE 1
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:48 PM, 11/10/2011
    9.1%
    ObamaSolyndra
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:51 PM, 11/10/2011
    $15 Trillion National Debt
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:52 PM, 11/10/2011
    Health Care Debacle
    Solyndra
    Gun Running/Fast and Furious


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About this blog
Inquirer staff writer Thomas Fitzgerald blogs about national politics.

You can reach Tom Fitzgerald at 215-854-2718 or tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.

Reach Thomas at tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.

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