President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney are tied in the crucial swing states of Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida, according to a new poll of the three battlegrounds released Thursday by Quinnipiac University.
The president leads all of the other potential Republican nominees in the three states, although half of the voters in each say that Obama does not serve reelection, the poll finds. Since 1960, no one has been elected president without winning at least two of the three states.
"His wide lead over most of the field and his neck-and-neck race with Romney show that the dissatisfaction with the president as evidenced by his mid-40s percent job approval and weak ‘deserves a second term’ ratings hasn’t translated into affection for his GOP challengers,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
Obama would best former pizza executive Herman Cain in a hypothetical matchup, as well as Texas Gov. Rick Perry and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, two other GOP challengers who have been in the top tier in most polls. Pollsters sampled voters between Oct. 31 and Nov. 7, before the latest revelations in sexual harassment allegations against Cain from when he was head of the National Restaurant Association, a lobbying and trade group, in the 1990s.
In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac found:
Obama 44 percent to Romney’s 43 percent;
- Obama tops Cain 48 – 38 percent;
- Obama beats Gingrich 48 – 38 percent;
- Obama bests Perry 47 – 38 percent.
In Florida, Quinnipiac found:
Romney at 45 percent to Obama’s 42 percent;
- Obama edging Cain 45 – 41 percent;
- Obama at 45 percent to House Speaker Newt Gingrich’s 42 percent;
- Obama over Texas Gov. Rick Perry 46 – 40 percent.
And in Ohio:
- Obama at 45 percent to Romney’s 42 percent;
- Obama topping Cain 48 – 38 percent;
- Obama beating Gingrich 49 – 37 percent;
- Obama over Perry 48 – 36 percent.
Here is some information on methodology and margin of error:
- 1,185 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent, including 513 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percent;
- 1,312 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent, including 443 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent;
- 1,436 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent, including 579 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percent.
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