Siena Poll finds Pa. up for grabs in prez race
New Poll by Siena College has Pa presidential race closing - 43 percent for Obama, 40 percent for Romney, with 12 percent undecided.
Siena Poll finds Pa. up for grabs in prez race
Thomas Fitzgerald, Inquirer Politics Writer
Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes seem up for grabs in a new Siena Research Institute Poll that shows a tight race, with President Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney 43 percent to 40 percent.
The Siena College survey finds 12 percnet of the state's voters undecided. It shows Romeny winning in the Philadelphia suburbs. "With a month and two more debates to go, Pennsylvania's direction on the road to the White House remains in doubt," said Don Levy, the poll director.
Obama is viewed favorably by 49 percent of the voters, to 44 percent who view the president unfavorably, while Romney's ratio is 40 percent favorable to 49 percent unfavorable, the poll finds.
Results are based on interviews with 545 likely voters between Oct. 1 and Oct. 5, and results are subject to a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.
Comments (63)
All The Hype about Some Non-Gratis Peon job like "President" , it still surprises me how many robotic "Folks" still think He runs things in this Country .
"Secretary of State" is the job to Have , but One saving Grace is "Kerry" , and not for bringing a "Nouveau" Look to the Hair-Styling industry , He , and His immigrant (former Mrs. John Heinz) Wife , With All their Wealth Combined already Own 3/4 ths of The Known World , so it would Not be much of a Job to get along with a Country , or Banana Republic You already are The "Exalted Poobah" of already , ..............and Cousin , That's A Lot O' Ketchup (Catsup if You are my Mom) !
Just "Foller da munny " .— oldsog67
The Dems are going to lose if they spend the remainder of this campaign trying either to convince us that Romney is a severe conservative or a flip flopper. Most believe him to be Moderate, even the right (but they will chose him over Obama). Moderates don't care about a flipflopper, since that is often merely a hallmark feature of a Moderate!
The ONLY hope to win rhetorically is to tie Republican policies to the Bain Treatment of companies.
The Bain Model is to load companies up with debt, reduce the cost of labor by any means necessary, and hand money borrowed from banks on the good name of the company to rich investors in Bain. The final step is to declare bankruptcy and force the US Government to pay off the pensions at 25 cents on the dollar, since they are Federally guaranteed.
The Republican Model is to load the US up with debt, reduce the middle class by any means necessary, and hand money borrowed from China on the good name of the US to rich donors to the GOP campaigns. The final step is to declare we are in a debt crisis and force the Government to pay off Medicare and Social security at 25 cents on the dollar. In this scenario, they commit the added insult of cutting taxed for the rich.
IS THIS COMPARISON SO FREAKING HARD TO MAKE!!!???
As far as I'm concerned, if the Dems don't take this up line of attack and run with it, they don't deserve power in the next 4 years. Leave it for Hilary to bring up in her 2016 bid, for Heaven's sake.— LoganWadeSeixx- What is interesting is this poll was done over 5 days, 3 before the debate and two after. Where would the numbers be if it was done this week? I think we will find out very soon!— Dutch-wayne
- ok, I'm wrong.
http://www.politico.com/pa_voter_registration/— gibby58 - Give us the area codes for the 545 citizens they called! Since the middle of the state(3area codes) is mostly GOP and around Philly/Pitts Dems, which did they call??? The numbers can be anything you wish based on where they called.— gibby58
- If I were a pro-life sort who'd donated to Romney, I'd want my money back. Romney stabbed the anti-abortion crowd right in the back. He just used them to win the nomination, now they can be discarded.— Jeff West
- WARNING. WARNING: Just watch the republican sleazy acts on 11/6/12. They will try every dirty nazi trick in the book to usurp votes from Obama and give them to Romney. Watch particularly in Florida and Ohio.— CommonSense in Philly
- Paging Terry Madona at F&M; time for another one of those PA polls showing an "unbiased" 10 point lead for Obama to quell the anxiety of libs everywhere.— camtheman
- This comment has been deleted. — hannibal barca
- Buried by the RepubliCons. You hardly have the candidate to be calling out our side for gaffs. Romney sets the record.
- The party's over!— Mr. Underhill
- Laaaaaaaaaaaandsliiiiiiiiiiiiide!— Mr. Underhill
- I've said all along that Obama wins by double digits. Landslide, I agree. Enjoy your little bump, but when America wakes up with a hangover and sees Mitt the Twit lying beside them, you can bet they'll have second thoughts.
- Funny how the media is hyping this poll but ignoring the fact that Rmoney has shut down in PA and moved his people to Ohio (to better steal that state's electoral votes).
Now, why would the media hype one story and ignore another?
Could it be to spread the "race is tightening"propaganda in order to keep selling ads?— JeffJenk - 7. Give in to Russia on any nuclear disarm agreement they want ( I will be in a better position after I win election)..yea right
8. FREE abortions for all women if you don't get your FREE contraceptives and the guys dont buy the trojans
9. I love gay marriage because it just got me another 15 million votes.
10. My economic plan..ahhhh i might hmmmm
11.My Iran plan...ahhhh i might hmmmm
12. My debpt plan ahhhh i might hmmmm
13.My job plan ahhhh i might hmmmm
14. My border control plan..ahhhh i might hmmmm...sue Arizona again
15. Make eva Longoria our new Immigrations Czar, Sandra Fluke sex Czar— blombard - Obummer's plan for the next four years..hmmm let me see,,where can I buy votes
1. I got 1.7 million additional voters when I used my executive privilege to grant citizenship to illegal immigrants recently..check
2. All college age women will get free contraceptives..let the boys buy their own trojans...that should be good for 8 million votes..check
3. I have another 12 million illegal immmigrants on the sidelines waiting for amnesty
4. I plan on suing every state which has a republican governor..that should keep holder busy
5. Free $$ if you are a black farmer or wish you were one
6. Reparations $$$$ if you are asian, black, mexican or non-white..free money as I raid the treasury ione last time— blombard - It's comical that Romney is the guy who says he'll straighten out our debt problem when he made most of his 250 million dollar fortune loading up companies with debt and then extracting million dollar fees from those same companies, in exchange for telling them who needs to be fired in order to finance the debt payments he saddled them with in the first place. He puts a small amount of his own money up and borrows the rest to take a controlling interest in a company. The company is left with the debt while he gets paid millions in management fees. The company now has two burdens it didn't have before he showed up. Now the company can fire workers and slash benefits to pay off its new obligations or it goes bankrupt. That sounds like a "real" job creator. Obama is only the lesser of two evils. We should stop voting for millionares(Romney,Obama, and most of Congress) and start voting for people who more identify with the working class. Money(lobbyists,Pacs..etc) needs to be taken out of politics but that will never happen until a revolution— GoingPostal10
The Democrats to include President Obama had better figure this out or else we will return to the Wild, wild west of a Ronald Reagan movie....which is far from the quality of John Wayne.
Even as I praise Governor Chris Christie and am more than secure in my politic, Obama blew it last week big time.— Cuddles- This comment has been deleted. — hannibal barca
- If Obama is so good; why is gas at 4 bucks, unemployment so high, illegal aliens getting a free pass and the deficit keeps growing. At best, Obama is graded at a D and needs to go back to Chicago with Rev Wright. Romney is the best of poor choices.— flatiron1972
- This is an epic collapse of historical proportions.— D
- If I were Obama, I would probably feel like the end is in sight, and I can concentrate on golf, speaking fees, a third autobiography and ...paying for Michelle's expensive vacations. Without all this tedious president stuff.— RichB
- Forget this poll, Philadelphians will come out to vote for the SECOND time in their lives and once again vote blindly for their savior without thinking. great, USA!— 420Phillie
- if you start seeing ads from the Romney campaign and visits to the state by both candidates then it's a race, otherwise this poll is just something to get ppl to click on and philly.com to use to sell ads. Jill biden and romneys 4th son visiting the state does not make it competitive.— workinwestphilly
- It's very likely that Matt Romney can pull this off. Another war in the Middle East, anyone ?????— Jon Corleone
- It's about time someone stood up to Big Bird and Sesame Street. No wonder Mitt Romney is improving in the polls with bold ideas like firing Big Bird. And I think people are starting to like Mitt Romney's plan to "broaden the tax base", which means making the 47% pay taxes, increasing taxes on the middle class, and cutting taxes for the top 1%.— pic man
- t— Professor1982
- barry is in so much trouble he has to fudge the unemployment numbers now! after the debate he was so hammered he's getting down and dirty now! oh yea last week they found 450 K jobs they didn't missed somehow! what a laugh! you can't actually create jobs, so you just create them out of thin air! next thing you know they'll tell us that everybody that wants to work is working! and the sheep following the shepperd will follow gleefully swallowing the biggest phoney in the history of this country!— Ryne Duren
- Willard can't win without Sesame Street! http://youtu.be/ZHDJxa-XIfc— Cornwall Citizen
- by the way bad seed. king barrak appointed jeffrie imelt the ceo of GE as the jobs czar! which prompted him to close his bulb factories here and move them to china where they now make the little piggy light bulbs everyone loves so dearly! they cost about 6-7 times more than a regular bulb! how many jobs were lost to china on that one? you're so blinded by the second coming that you couldn't tell the difference between a real leader or a community organizer.— Ryne Duren
- I've been in business for 25 years and I have no idea what you are talking about, Mr. President.— Dunsmore
- Aside from Allegheny & Philadelphia county- this is a right of center state (w/o the Philly suburbs a right wing state)...........that's why the GOP controls the state apparatus.— Northcountry
- hey dr sam8 i think he said 16 ships.— Ryne Duren
- You can smell the fear in these Barry lemmings. Their little boy emperor has finally been exposed as wearing no clothes, and they don't know how to handle the fallout. Forward!— bil,l atkins
- Suddenly the Repubs are lauding polls like this one as Gospel, while they labeled all the pro-Obama polls as "liberal hype." So typical and laughable. Romney has NO chance in PA, but if this poll floats your Romneyian boats, enjoy it while it lasts.— SCZ
- The jig is up, Obama. You were exposed in front of the world last week by a competent, ADULT leader. Romney is up more than these polls tell you. Dems are being over-sampled (as if it were 2008) in every poll even though the enthusiasm for Romney voters is much higher. Only look at LIKELY VOTER polls and Obama is TOAST!— Mr. Underhill
- Now polls matter to Republicans when Mittens is up! lolz........
Obama will win Pennsy handily.— The Fundamentals of the Economy are Fine - Romney's chances of winning Pennsylvania are about as remote as Tom Smith beating Bob Casey, Jr. This poll must have been taken in the Republican "T", not on Main Street or Sesame Street!!— Cornwall Citizen
- He doesn't necessarily have to win. If he can force Barry to spend time and resources here to defend it, it's as good as a win. — bil,l atkins
- Agreed with tr88. If Barry has to fight to hang on here, he's finished nationally.— bil,l atkins
@ Napa - We'll if that's your position, then you must discredit all the other polls as well. Meaning PA is truly up for grabs which only benefits Romney.— Professor1982- Sienna Poll? Nice try, I'm not buying this one. Faux News is probably behind this joke...— Napa818
- If Pa is in play, Romney wins easily.— tr88
- @seed-at least 40% view him like him you moron— smiggs13
- Obama has NO chance.— Professor1982
- ROMNEY'S NEW WAR.
During his foreign policy speech yesterday (September 8), Romney made extravagants statements, some of which will blow a cavaneous hole in the deficit. He said that should he ever become President, he would build 50 warships every year--that means 200 in a four year Presidency and 400 in eight. Amazing statement indeed! Voters, journalists and lawmakers have a right to ask now: Is Romney interested at all in reducing the deficit? What new wars will Romney start that would involve not just the cost of these ships but much more cost to American lives and treasury? What indeed would all these cost, including cost to America's reputation abroad? What impact on domestic programs, including education, social security, etec.? This man who has never enlisted in any war--no member of his family has-- is going to take us down the path of reckless militarism as George W. did--even worse. AMERICANS, THINK! iT IS NOT about slick debate and speeches. Look at policies and how it would affect you individually and the nation. THINK!
— Dr. Sam8 - @ Dr. Sam8 - There's a counter arguement to that philosophy. Is Obama's "hands off" foreign policy going to cost the US 10x as much down the road???
Clinton's "hands off" policy led to 9/11 and ultimatley 2 wars b/c he refused to do anything about the growing threat of Al Quada and other terrorists groups.
Some suspect this lax foreign policy was a setup to implement the most aggregious violations to the Constitution in Homeland Security and Patriot Act.
$1 of prevention is worth $10 of consequence.— Professor1982 - Bush and Chenney allowed hijacked planes to fly over our skies for hours without any action.
There can't be any greater incompetence than that.
Remember 9/11 happened 9 month after Bush was president. Bush's job loss continued for months into Obama presidency and he has been asked to take responsibility for that.
GOP incompetence is always someone else's fault.— Seed - seed...only a total idiot would believe that. I lost 3 friends in 9/11. I find your comments totally repulsive. You are a complete loser!
- Clinton was not responsible for 911. That one is on George bush and the RepubliCons who never really believed that Osama bin laden was a threat. they believed that concerns about Al Qaeda was just an excuse to deflect attention from the Monica scandal. If Bush would have listened to Richard Clark as the Clinton administration did, 9/11 might well have been prevented.
- So, you believe that President Obama has practiced a "hands off" foreign policy? I guess all of those drone strikes against Al-Quada were really a video game. We have already paid a high price of being involved in two separate conflicts - one unwarrented and unlawful - the other a result of taking the Arabs and their culture as a whole for granted.
It also appears that your memory - like your common sense - has failed you. The Department of Homeland Security and the Patriot Act, were both created that the war-monger Bush.— lalaw9833 - This comment has been deleted.— philadelphia.fish
- Romney did get a bump from the debates, but like all bumps during this election, it will most certainly disapate in the coming days. We're only now seeing the results of the debate, but the unemployment numbers will most certainly provide a bump for Obama.
- Romney's 90 minute liefest would not be enough.
Let Romney pour in his Cayman Island dollar if he really wants to win PA.
Romney should ask China to put some money in as well as he will create more jobs there. He did that while he was one term governor of MA— Seed - Romney low favorability tells what people feel about this snake oil sales man.
Republicans even liked a random blackman more before they settled for this two faced lier. No one likes or trust this man.— Seed - He's not done yet. 3 more embarrassing humiliating debates coming for Obama. Maybe Mitt will feel bad and allow Obama to take his teleprompter this time. — Mr. Underhill
- @ Seed - Still spilling your hollow hate filled rhetoric I see.
Net is Obama was exposed by a real business person. It was easy for Obama to "dazzle" when compared to John McCain, but now that Obama is up against a real leader, he was exposed in front of the nation!!!
And that "random blackman" you refer to is Herman Cain (yes, he has a name) only build the largest pizza chain in the country. You have no class and clearly are a racist.
BTW, GE, one of the largest contributors to the Obama campaign, recently moved its entire X-Ray Operations to China...whatca' got to say about that?!?
Fraud.— Professor1982 - The fact is that Romney has duped some people with the scam that he is trying to pull off. Tax cuts for everyone. No cuts in Social Security and Medicare. Massive increase in military spending. People with pre-existing conditions covered and children can stay on their parent's plan as long as they want AND balance the budget. Americans are too smart to fall for such absolute gardbage. Romeny's lead will be brief. The economy is steadily improving and unemployment is under 8%. Every state where Republican govenors have followed Romney's balanced budget policy saw unemployment rise and tax revenue go down. For a supposed businessman, Romney sure is short on a detailed plan. He is all things to all people. Keep all of the goodies yet balance the budget. Romney-Ryan - complete frauds. — MikeP
- And Mittens has been exposed as a pathological liar who will do and say anything to get elected. 5 Trillion dollar tax breaks, 2 Trillion in new defense spending.....nah, Mittens never said that even though his website says so!
Republicans....dopes, no change!— The Fundamentals of the Economy are Fine
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Inquirer staff writer Thomas Fitzgerald blogs about national politics.
You can reach Tom Fitzgerald at 215-854-2718 or tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.
Reach Thomas at tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.
Thomas Fitzgerald
Inquirer Politics Writer
You can reach Tom Fitzgerald at 215-854-2718 or tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.
Reach Thomas at tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.
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