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Sunday, November 23, 2008

 

It's already time to revisit the issue of President-elect Obama's team of advisors and new Cabinet members. Last week I wrote that I wasn't thrilled by the names so far but they seemed part of a plan to install git-r-done types, that if there was change it would be through new policies and not so much new people. That still seems to be the case, but now there is one connection that's more troubling.

Why is Obama taking so much economic advice from a man so tied to our current economic woes, particular now the possible pending collapse and/or bailout of the massive Citigroup. That advisor is former Clinton Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, who has been playing a key role in the Obama transition effort and who has close ties with the two key members of the new president''s new team, expected Treasury Secretary-designate Tim Geithner and economic advisor Larry Summers.

Given Rubin's prominent role as Obama advisor and mentor to his team, this news of his role as a director of the troubled Citigroup is quite alarming:

"Chuck Prince going down to the corporate investment bank in late 2002 was the start of that process," a former Citigroup executive said of the bank's big C.D.O. push. "Chuck was totally new to the job. He didn't know a C.D.O. from a grocery list, so he looked for someone for advice and support. That person was Rubin. And Rubin had always been an advocate of being more aggressive in the capital markets arena. He would say, 'You have to take more risk if you want to earn more.'

Those CDOs -- collateralized debt obligations -- are what is dragging Citigroup into the muck, as well as relaxed banking regulations, some of which were pushed through by Rubin as Treasury Secretary. A lot of people are worried about the Obama-Rubin connection, and not just the usual suspects but liberal writers like Josh Marshall over at Talking Points Memo:

As you probably know, Rubin has become a key economics advisor to President-elect Obama and is advising the transition, though he seems neither in line for nor interested in a formal appointment. But Rubin's hand does seem present at so many turns in Citigroup's undoing that I see no way of getting around asking what sort of advice he's giving.

Same here, although at this point one wonders the sense of cutting Rubin loose, since his friends Geithner and Summers are already in the pipeline. It's too bad Obama didn't make his primary economic team people like Nobel laureate Paul Krugman (an occasional Obama critic, but so was Hillary Clinton) or former Labor Secretary Robert Reich.

But I will say this: Obama's economic advice, including his ill-advised use of Rubin (and here's another troubling example of Rubin's arrogance) has yet to result in dumb economic ideas. In fact, his plan for an economic stimulus plan focused on infrastructure and alternative energy, while not a surprise, is exactly where we need to be heading. Also agreeing is Robert Reich:

In short, Obama's job-stimulus plan will be a down-payment on his larger plan to increase the nation's public investment. "These aren't just steps to pull ourselves out of this immediate crisis," he says, "these are the long-term investments in our economic future that have been ignored for far too long. And they represent an early down payment on the type of reform my Administration will bring to Washington." He could not be more specific, at least while still President-Elect.

At a time when aggregate demand is shriveling because consumers aren't spending and investors have stopped investing, and exports are shrinking, Obama recognizes that government must be the spender of last resort. He will combine old-fashioned Kaynesian economics with newly-fashioned public investments to pull the economy out of its slump.

Bottom line, still: It's important to ask the "who" of the Obama transition, but what really matters to most of us is the "what."

UPDATE: Tomorrow's Times has a much more in-depth look at the Rubin connection.

Posted by Will Bunch @ 9:35 PM  Permalink | 27 comments
Comments   
Posted 10:00 PM, 11/23/2008
Talking point sleuth
Summers was also knee deep in the commodities trading act that set this whole fiasco. Maybe he really does still have his eyes on the prize, but just doesn't want to repeat Carter's mistakes - as you suggested in an earlier posts. Then again, he could just be another centrist Dem who, while a far cry better than someone like Bush or McCain version 2008, will essentially only tinker around the edges.
Posted 10:10 PM, 11/23/2008
didderbops
TPS beat me to the punch. Summers has his fingerprints all over the current disaster and it is unpardonable that he should be so involved in advising Obama on the economy. Originally his name was being floated for Treasury Secretary and the it was met with a resounding thud, as both the left and right were less than happy with the idea.
Posted 10:12 PM, 11/23/2008
Archimedes
As I read the long Times article about the fall of Citigroup, I found myself thinking that Rubin was clearly way off base and a poor choice for Obama, so I am glad to find you of the same opinion. I also like Krugman and Reich a lot better. For the most part, Obama's cabinet choices seem sound, but the financial team fails to convince me. My choice for Treasury is Sheila Bair; I say "is" only because Obama has not officially announced anyone for a Cabinet position and there is a miniscule chance that he could come to my side. As you say, the plan seems like a good one, although a little bit "bring back the WPA and CCC." All the right-wing theorists love to point out that the New Deal of the first 100 days did not stop the Depression (born in 1936, I was still a Depression baby), Social Security and other lasting reforms came later, and the Depression finally was ended by World War II. They do have a point, I fear. The latest tax plans from Obama may also make a difference. We will all know more tomorrow.
Posted 10:14 PM, 11/23/2008
Archimedes
Also, I should add, I am no fan of Summers, either.
Posted 10:24 PM, 11/23/2008
SBVFT Contributor
That would be former Enron advisor Krugman?
Posted 10:38 PM, 11/23/2008
will
Who would be your Treasury Secretary, Swifty? Don't answer "Mark Steyn."
Posted 10:44 PM, 11/23/2008
SBVFT Contributor
Hey - my mortgage is with Citigroup. If they go under, do i still have to send them a check?........someone please say yes :)
Posted 10:47 PM, 11/23/2008
SBVFT Contributor
Neal Cavuto. George Will. Any regular Joe picked randomly from the phone book. Those would be 3 I'd be comfortable with.
Posted 11:01 PM, 11/23/2008
will
What is it with Republicans and guys named "Joe"?
Posted 11:08 PM, 11/23/2008
Talking point sleuth
What's hilarious is that the Repubs first whined like lunatics about how Obama was a "Marxist," and now they'll while like lunatics because he's appointing mainstream capitalists to high government positions. Hmmm. What's the common element there?
Posted 11:16 PM, 11/23/2008
Talking point sleuth
Larry Summers was pretty buddy, buddy with Ken Lay. Summers is a pro-corporate hack. Terrible choice.
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Posted 07:15 AM, 11/24/2008
jfar86
Will, I can only hope that Obama doesn't listen to you. Paul Krugman? Really? Geithner, with whom I admittedly don't have a lot of familiarity, seems to be a solid pick -- and if you saw what the market did on Friday afternoon after his name was announced, it appears that Wall Street agrees. Krugman would be an unmitigated disaster. After this post, you shouldn't be allowed to discuss the economy again. Ever. http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/attytood/But_butObama_is_supposed_to_be_bad_for_the_economy.html
Posted 10:34 AM, 11/24/2008
SteveMG
The only people with clean hands are probably incompetent.
Posted 11:52 AM, 11/24/2008
db_cooper
'Bottom line, still: It's important to ask the "who" of the Obama transition, but what really matters to most of us is the "what."' In other words, the end justifies the means, eh, Will? Why am I not suprised that you have your attack dog journalism on such a short leash now that Obama is assembling his team?
Posted 11:54 AM, 11/24/2008
db_cooper
" Then again, he could just be another centrist Dem " Or maybe he's just another hack in line to divvy up positions of power and influence to those who helped create all this mess in the first place. But hey, as long as Gitmo gets closed, who cares about all the other malfeasance in DC?
Posted 11:55 AM, 11/24/2008
Talking point sleuth
I guess db's disappointed that Obama hasn't tapped more Marxists for his administration.
Posted 12:02 PM, 11/24/2008
db_cooper
"I guess db's disappointed that Obama hasn't tapped more Marxists for his administration." I'd rather he bring in folks who are more liberal and less tainted by the malfeasance of the last couple of decades. We seem to have somehow created a structure that gives us the worst of both capitalism and socialism, along with the worst of Republican and Democrat, where bipartisanship means everyone gets their turn at the trough.
Posted 12:05 PM, 11/24/2008
db_cooper
"The only people with clean hands are probably incompetent." And our current elected leaders, both Dem and Pubbie, are such paragons of competence and virtue that randomly selecting registered voters to replace them wouldn't be an improvement?
Posted 12:10 PM, 11/24/2008
RG
"I'd rather he bring in folks who are more liberal...." Come again? "And our current elected leaders, both Dem and Pubbie, are such paragons of competence and virtue that randomly selecting registered voters to replace them wouldn't be an improvement?" Really? you'd rather have the people who elected the incompetents running the show?
Posted 12:20 PM, 11/24/2008
Talking point sleuth
actually, db, I agree with you. Obama has selected a team who have a proven track record of manipulating economic policy at the behest of those with vested interests. The man off the street would be able to listen to expert advice without being as susceptible to influence - because they wouldn't already be connected to the corporations. However, I'm until proven otherwise, I'm at least willing to believe that it's possible that Obama is bringing on board folks who can get things done, and that he will provide the leadership to craft what they'll be doing in ways that benefit the average American. That's been his rhetoric, and it's what people will be expecting. Ultimately, he will only survive politically if he delivers on what he's said he's going to do. It's unlikely that he'll make major changes, because there'd be too much risk to trying to accomplish that. However, he can make smaller, yet still significant changes. At the very least, he couldn't possibly be worse than Bush and his cronies, and I know you don't agree, but I believe that he couldn't be any worse than McCain whom, IMO, pretended to be a reformer but was intimately connected to the same slop as Bush.
Posted 01:35 PM, 11/24/2008
SteveMG
db I'm just talking about the economic issues. Randomly selected economists could very well cause a great deal of harm.
Comment removed.
Posted 09:41 PM, 11/24/2008
Talking point sleuth
Keep it up with the immigrant-hating, batboy. It's absolutely a great election strategy. A real winner.
Posted 07:51 PM, 11/25/2008
George Tomezsko
OK, fellow posters, it's time for a little Q-and-A session. Question: "why is Obama taking so much economic advice from a man so tied to our current economic woes?" Answer: because the prophet of hope and change was full of hot air!
About Will Bunch
Will's book: Learn about it here and purchase it here.

Will Bunch, a senior writer at the Philadelphia Daily News, blogs about his obsessions, including national and local politics and world affairs, the media, pop music, the Philadelphia Phillies, soccer and other sports, not necessarily in that order.

E-mail Will by clicking here.

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