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Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Perception tends to trump reality in politics, and the perception that Hillary Clinton won by double-digits last night is huge for her campaign. I have MSNBC on right now and it's showing a 55-45 percent Clinton victory.

Now here's the reality, from the Pa. Department of State, the official vote counter. With only a handful of precincts out, Clinton is winning by 8.6 percent. Not 10 percent, and not even 9 percent.

As Bill Clinton himself once said, what is the deal?

UPDATE: AP has the margin at 9.3 percent, with a few more votes counted.

 

Posted by Will Bunch @ 10:35 AM  Permalink | 49 comments
Comments   
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:04 AM, 04/23/2008
    "Perception tends to trump reality in politics..." But at a certain point the reality rears its ugly head. Whether by 10% or 8% doesn't matter, Clinton won. Yes, Obama was the underdog here throughout. But to win a general election you have to be able to win in places you were not necessarily expected to. It is starting to look like Obama can no longer get past his "regular" constituency, and that does not bode well for down the road. It may be too late to matter in the nomination, but I think that overall McCain slept well last night, even if he "only" got 73% of the Republican primary votes.
    what is truth?
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:07 AM, 04/23/2008
    I'm gonna have to agree with the crazies on this one.. this is silly.
    Politburo
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:12 AM, 04/23/2008
    As it turns out, the people who oppose the Democrats at every turn would like to keep Hillary Clinton active in the race. This is a surprise? And they also have "doubts" about a person they would, under no circumstances, vote for anyway. It really is to laugh. You 28 percenters are really something else.
    E.Plebnista
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:21 AM, 04/23/2008
    Give it up Will.By the way,has Burrell passed Utley in the NL MVP race ?
    Yankee Air Pirate 12
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:53 AM, 04/23/2008
    Hillary got my vote yesterday (on orders from Operation Chaos) - now I have to re-register back to Republican.
    justablogger
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:57 AM, 04/23/2008
    If you scoll down a little, McCain only got 73%! As far as perception, remember Texas. There were two contests, a primary and a causus. they split, but Obama came away with more delegates, yet Clinton is still claiming whe won Texas, when Obama came ahead in to of the three actual measures. Let them delude themselves, this is just proof of why I was a Republican before, and why I am remembering to switch back. But there is hope in the converts and new voters your party gets. Sure as heck aren't a whole lot of people turning to the Republican Party.
    SteveMG
  • Comment removed.
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:13 PM, 04/23/2008
    In case you didn't notice, Will tilts ever so slightly toward Obama.
    jmc
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:41 PM, 04/23/2008
    "Cannot wait until Hillary takes the lead" - which, of course, is statistically impossible. But, hey, hope that works out for you. Make sure you don't lose your tin foil hat while tilting at those windmills.
    E.Plebnista
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:43 PM, 04/23/2008
    The county-by-county election results map of PA in today's Inky speaks more eleoquently than Will's parsing of percentages. Obama only carried those counties where minorities, especially African-Americans, are concentrated. He clearly has no appeal outside a limited set of constituencies.
    George Tomezsko
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:58 PM, 04/23/2008
    Genius-Poti didn't cry too much actually.That was Devorski out there & the only guy in the NHL with enough clout to give Devorski a hard time is.......well no one,come to think of it.
    Yankee Air Pirate 12
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:02 PM, 04/23/2008
    Jeez Will, you are really reaching now. Go home and have a good cry.
    jimmymack


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About Will Bunch
Will's new book: Learn about it here and purchase it here.


Will Bunch, a senior writer at the Philadelphia Daily News, blogs about his obsessions, including national and local politics and world affairs, the media, pop music, the Philadelphia Phillies, soccer and other sports, not necessarily in that order.

E-mail Will by clicking here.

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