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Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Perception tends to trump reality in politics, and the perception that Hillary Clinton won by double-digits last night is huge for her campaign. I have MSNBC on right now and it's showing a 55-45 percent Clinton victory.

Now here's the reality, from the Pa. Department of State, the official vote counter. With only a handful of precincts out, Clinton is winning by 8.6 percent. Not 10 percent, and not even 9 percent.

As Bill Clinton himself once said, what is the deal?

UPDATE: AP has the margin at 9.3 percent, with a few more votes counted.

 

Posted by Will Bunch @ 10:35 AM  Permalink | 49 comments
Comments   
Comment removed.
Posted 11:04 AM, 04/23/2008
what is truth?
"Perception tends to trump reality in politics..." But at a certain point the reality rears its ugly head. Whether by 10% or 8% doesn't matter, Clinton won. Yes, Obama was the underdog here throughout. But to win a general election you have to be able to win in places you were not necessarily expected to. It is starting to look like Obama can no longer get past his "regular" constituency, and that does not bode well for down the road. It may be too late to matter in the nomination, but I think that overall McCain slept well last night, even if he "only" got 73% of the Republican primary votes.
Posted 11:07 AM, 04/23/2008
Politburo
I'm gonna have to agree with the crazies on this one.. this is silly.
Posted 11:12 AM, 04/23/2008
E.Plebnista
As it turns out, the people who oppose the Democrats at every turn would like to keep Hillary Clinton active in the race. This is a surprise? And they also have "doubts" about a person they would, under no circumstances, vote for anyway. It really is to laugh. You 28 percenters are really something else.
Posted 11:21 AM, 04/23/2008
Yankee Air Pirate 12
Give it up Will.By the way,has Burrell passed Utley in the NL MVP race ?
Comment removed.
Posted 11:53 AM, 04/23/2008
justablogger
Hillary got my vote yesterday (on orders from Operation Chaos) - now I have to re-register back to Republican.
Posted 11:57 AM, 04/23/2008
SteveMG
If you scoll down a little, McCain only got 73%! As far as perception, remember Texas. There were two contests, a primary and a causus. they split, but Obama came away with more delegates, yet Clinton is still claiming whe won Texas, when Obama came ahead in to of the three actual measures. Let them delude themselves, this is just proof of why I was a Republican before, and why I am remembering to switch back. But there is hope in the converts and new voters your party gets. Sure as heck aren't a whole lot of people turning to the Republican Party.
Comment removed.
Comment removed.
Posted 12:13 PM, 04/23/2008
jmc
In case you didn't notice, Will tilts ever so slightly toward Obama.
Posted 12:41 PM, 04/23/2008
E.Plebnista
"Cannot wait until Hillary takes the lead" - which, of course, is statistically impossible. But, hey, hope that works out for you. Make sure you don't lose your tin foil hat while tilting at those windmills.
Posted 12:43 PM, 04/23/2008
George Tomezsko
The county-by-county election results map of PA in today's Inky speaks more eleoquently than Will's parsing of percentages. Obama only carried those counties where minorities, especially African-Americans, are concentrated. He clearly has no appeal outside a limited set of constituencies.
Posted 12:58 PM, 04/23/2008
Yankee Air Pirate 12
Genius-Poti didn't cry too much actually.That was Devorski out there & the only guy in the NHL with enough clout to give Devorski a hard time is.......well no one,come to think of it.
Posted 01:02 PM, 04/23/2008
jimmymack
Jeez Will, you are really reaching now. Go home and have a good cry.
About Will Bunch
Will's book: Learn about it here and purchase it here.

Will Bunch, a senior writer at the Philadelphia Daily News, blogs about his obsessions, including national and local politics and world affairs, the media, pop music, the Philadelphia Phillies, soccer and other sports, not necessarily in that order.

E-mail Will by clicking here.

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