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Wednesday, February 3, 2010

 

 


As evidenced by the results last night in the Illinois Republican primaries - the first intraparty contests on the '10 political calendar - it's not yet clear whether the clamorous and diffuse "tea party" movement packs any punch at the ballot box.

Tea-party activists had been vocally touting two particular Republican candidates, both of whom apparently fit the bill as conservative insurgent outsiders: real estate developer Patrick Hughes for the U.S. Senate nomination (he was challenging an insider, moderate GOP congressman Mark Kirk); and wealthy businessman Adam Andrzejewski for the gubernatorial nomination (he was challenging a slew of GOP insiders).

Well, the returns are in. Hughes and Andrzejewski, the tea party-annointed candidates, were both slaughtered.

The hype leading up to primary night suggested otherwise. Mark Kirk was always the favorite for the Senate nomination; he's a well-known commodity in Illinois, thanks to his House tenure, and novice Hughes didn't have much time to get himself known. But tea-partiers insisted that Kirk's moderate record (he voted Yes on the Democratic cap-and-trade bill, he's pro-choice) would prompt lots of other tea-partiers to flood the polling places and cast protest votes for Hughes. Their big talking point was that, in a low-turnout statewide GOP primary (in Illinois, that's about 700,000 votes), the tea-partiers would dominate by dint of their outsize enthusiasm. Hence, their publicized hope was that Hughes would make it close.

It was indeed a low-turnout primary. But Kirk got 57 percent. Hughes got only 19 percent. No way the tea-partiers can spin that one as even a moral victory.

Meanwhile, in the race for the GOP gubernatorial nod, the tea-party movement had much higher hopes for Adam Andrzejewski. His outsider profile was ideal: a businessman who once owned a phone book company; a vocal advocate for government transparency. He had virtually built his first-time candidacy as a tea-party afficionado. He spoke at a rally last April, tailored his platform to meet tea-party tastes, and melded his operation with the movement. As he recently told Politico, "I spoke for 15 minutes at that (April) rally and that gave my campaign early momentum." He tapped movement activists for his email and donor lists.

He pledged, as governor, to oppose 'any and all tax increases." He was endorsed by Glenn Beck and Rush Limbaugh. Better yet, his chief rivals for the GOP nomination were all insiders (the state Republican chairman, two state senators). And, again, tea-partiers expected to dominate the low turnout. As one Chicago tea-party organizer publicly boasted the other day, "I think we'll get a tea-party candidate elected to the governorship."

It was indeed another low-turnout primary. Problem was, the tea-party movement's darling finished fifth with only 14 percent. The GOP insider candidates left him in the dust.

Perhaps you're thinking: OK, so forget Illinois. What about that Massachusetts Senate special election? Didn't Scott Brown ride into office on a wave of tea-party support? Can't we cite his ascent as the first big tea-party victory?

Not according to Scott Brown. As he remarked on ABC News last Sunday, in response to that argument, "You are making an assumption that the tea party movement was influential, and I have to respectfully disagree."

More GOP primaries are on the calendar. We'll need to wait a bit longer to see whether the grassroots movement has actual electoral oomph (which may well prove true, assuming there is empirical evidence) - or whether, in the end, it's little more than weak tea.

-------

At yesterday's Senate hearing on the proposed repeal of "don't ask, don't tell," the top soundbite was obviously uttered by Admiral Mike Mullern, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. In the most widely-circulated passage, he talked about the absurdity of gay servicepeople being forced "to lie about who they are in order to defend their fellow citizens."

More fascinating, however, were the remarks uttered by out-of-the-mainstream Republicans. Second prize goes to Georgia Senator Saxby Chambliss, who worried aloud that if gays served openly, our soldiers would slide down the road to decadence, by engaging in "alcohol use" and "body art." (Yeah, I guess there has never been an instance when a straight soldier on leave got drunk and tattoed.)

But first prize goes to House Republican freshman Duncan Hunter (whose father, the senior Duncan Hunter, was an '08 presidential candidate for roughly 11 minutes). He surfaced last night on NPR. There was one particularly telling exchange.

Question: "Admiral Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, said today in the Senate hearing that he has talked to counterparts in other countries where they do allow gays to serve openly in the military, and there has been no impact, he says, on military effectiveness. What do you think about that?"

Hunter: "Let me answer with this too. Admiral Mullen is the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, a political appointee. And that's fine, he has his opinion. But his opinion is not necessarily that of the chief of staff of the Army or the Marine Corp commandant. But I would say, in answer to your particular question, the U.S. is not Canada and we're not Great Britain."

Notw how Hunter never answered the question. No surprise there. If he had, he would've been compelled to acknowledge that none of our allies - 24 nations, including such wimps as the Israelis - have ever indicated that open gay service was a mistake. Britain, our closest ally in two wars, lifted its ban a decade ago, and its Ministry of Defense has since determined that open service has been "a solid achievement" with "no discernible impact" on recruitment or readiness. Rest assured, if any of our open-service allies had ever reported the contrary, Hunter would have quoted it chapter and verse.

I could recount some of Hunter's arguments - particularly his warning that open gay service would prompt an influx of "hermaphrodites" - but you get the idea.  
 

 

Posted by Dick Polman @ 10:31 AM  Permalink | 78 comments
Comments   
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 10:46 AM, 02/03/2010
    Geez, you and Bunch back on the TEA parties today, both of you predicting their demise or minimal influence. You guys must be scared to death of them to devote so much bandwidth to poking holes in them.
    pj katauskas
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:15 AM, 02/03/2010
    Liberal elitist! Communist! You're just scared of the tea party folk. If they weren't the greatest thing on earth then you wouldn't talk about them, obviously.
    dawkins20d
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:20 AM, 02/03/2010
    ^tools^
    gdeadwhale
  • Comment removed.
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:43 AM, 02/03/2010
    I don't have a job writing about politics, but I'm going to criticize you about everything you write instead of addressing the issue you bring up, so take that Polman!
    HandNik
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:51 AM, 02/03/2010
    Ya can't win em all
    cuso20
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:53 AM, 02/03/2010
    I'm all for a third party. Too bad it had to be these Dbags... sorry Tbags... no, I was right the first time.
    skoot1200
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:10 PM, 02/03/2010
    MoveOn has 5 million members, a portion who give money every month to support ad buys, lobbying, etc. Many more are alerted on a daily basis to contact elected representatives and put political pressure on them. Various group protests are organized and coordinated from a nation strategy perspective. This is a contributing factor to democrats control of Washington. The tea parties are an attempt to build a similar ancillary political organization independent of but coordinating with the republicans. Obviously, the tea parties have some catching up to do reach the scale of effectiveness of MoveOn.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:11 PM, 02/03/2010
    It will be interesting to see what effect the tea baggers have on the electoral scene in 2010. I cannot see help to the Republicans - as the litmus tests imo will scare off the moderates that both sides need to get anywhere. The GOPers mantra seems to be impede Obama at all and any costs to this country. We need a 3rd party that puts this country first not the GOP.
    FormerGOPer
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:40 PM, 02/03/2010
    CD75 is my hero.
    dawkins20d
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:41 PM, 02/03/2010
    'PUBS: None of you have anything to say. I'll take that to be NO to be impeachment. ...................... A recent non-partisan poll (the 2000) was taken of only hardcore 'pubs. I suppose that means Conse 'Pubs & Neo-Cons. .......... 39% of them want Obama impeached? That's 4 out of 10 of well-known posters here. An addition 29% (68%) say they aren't sure he should be impeached. ....................... Okay, 'Pubs. Impeach him, not sure or don't impeach? Let's see who'll speak up; who'll stay silent!!
    Talvenada
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:54 PM, 02/03/2010
    I think it speaks to the fact that the right is driven by many more variables than the tea party activists. Focus only on this group at your peril. On second thought, I couldn't care less what you lefty kooks focus on.
    A Friend


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About Dick Polman

Cited by the Columbia Journalism Review as one of the nation's top political reporters, and lauded by the ABC News political website as "one of the finest political journalists of his generation," Dick Polman is a national political columnist at the Philadelphia Inquirer. He is on the full-time faculty at the University of Pennsylvania, as "writer in residence." Dick has been a frequent guest on C-Span, MSNBC, CNN, NPR and the BBC. He covered the 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004 presidential campaigns.

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All commentaries posted before April 18, 2008, can be accessed at www.dickpolman.blogspot.com.