Karl Rove - the architect of George W. Bush's rise and fall, the uber-strategist who until recently was envisioning a permanent Republican majority - came up with a plan the other day to demonize Barack Obama in a whole new way.
In a meeting on Monday with Capitol Hill Republicans, Rove suggested broad-brushing Obama in this fashion: "Even if you never met him, you know this guy. He's the guy at the country club with the beautiful date, holding a martini and a cigarette (who) stands against the wall and makes snide comments about everyone who passes by."
Obama should send Rove a thank-you note, because Rove's attempt at demonization is actually the ultimate compliment.
In Rove's scenario, Obama is no longer the insufficiently American outsider with the scary middle name. Au contraire, Obama has now come up in the world. Rove, inadvertently, has reframed Obama as a mainstream insider, a guy who has lived the American dream so successfully that he has even gained entry to the country club.
I question whether Republicans really believe they can demonize Obama this way...especially since, to many Republicans, there is no greater validation than membership in a country club. If Rove's demonization idea is the best they can do, then perhaps they truly are in trouble this year.
And speaking of the ultimate compliment, consider the TV ad that Republican Senator Gordon Smith is currently airing, as part of his quest to keep his Oregon seat in the November election. In the typical TV ad, an incumbent will boast of his close ties to the presidential candidate of his own party; in this case, one might assume that Gordon Smith would air a snapshot of himself cozying up to John McCain.
But no. McCain is never shown or mentioned. Instead, Smith cozies up verbally with...Barack Obama. The candidate of the other party.
From the script: "Who says Gordon Smith led the fight for better gas mileage and a clean environment? Barack Obama." (Visuals of Obama's website.) "He joined with Gordon, and broke through a 20-year deadlock to pass new laws that increase gas mileage for automobiles..." Cut to Smith: "I'm Gordon Smith, and I approve working across party lines."
Granted, Smith is fighting to survive in a state that has long been trending blue. But the McCain camp, on June 9, cited Oregon as one of its 24 battleground states, so it has to be embarrassing that the Republican senator on the November ballot has seen fit to link himself with Obama. I can't ever recall another instance when the senator of one party has paid the ultimate compliment to the opposition's presidential candidate.
In terms of arguing that Obama appears well positioned to run a highly competitive autumn race, I find the Rove and Smith anecdotes to be just as persuasive as the new Los Angeles Times-Bloomberg poll, which was released yesterday. (It shows Obama with a 12-point national lead; with Ralph Nader and Bob Barr in the mix, his lead is 15 points.) Notwithstanding my Tuesday caveat about seizing on polls five months out from election day, two stats do seem noteworthy:
The poll reports that Hillary Clinton's ticked-off followers are rapidly coming home to Obama (a trend that also surfaced in last Sunday's Newsweek survey). Whereas, in some exit polls during the hotly-contested primary season, 30 to 40 percent of Hillary voters were vowing to cast ballots in November for McCain, passions are apparently cooling. The LAT-Bloomberg survey now reports that only 11 percent of the Hillaryland denizens intend to back the Mac. And with respect to Democratic women in general, the tally now reads: Obama, 81 percent; McCain, five percent.
That's in sync with what I hear anecdotally. One Philadelphia career woman whom I have met twice, a quintessential baby-boomer Hillary fan, remarked yesterday: "I'm still going through a mourning period. The day after Hillary dropped out, I sat at the table looking at this picture of her in the paper. She had the most complicated emotions on her face - pride, regret. And I just burst into tears. My husband came over and put his arms around me...As far as Obama goes, I'm just not there yet. But I will be."
Indeed, I wonder whether Karl Rove's proposed demonization of Obama as a country club swell will be enough to turn these women toward McCain.
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