Web Search powered by YAHOO! SEARCH
share
email
font size
options
 
Wednesday, July 1, 2009

 

 

As an occasional guest on Saturday Night Live several decades ago, Al Franken would seemingly morph into Pat Robertson, nailing with eerie precision the religious right leader's smarmy unctuousness - a tour de farce that rivals Tina Fey's take on Sarah Palin in the mimicry hall of fame.

But the comic Franken is gone now, at least for the next six years. Thanks to a long-expected ruling yesterday by the Minnesota Supreme Court, and a swift decision by Norm Coleman to finally wake up to reality and stop wasting Republican money in a futile cause, Franken is now free to don the cloak of senatorial seriousness. He did it yesterday, while addressing the issue of whether he views himself as the 60th Democratic senator and thus the guy who gives Democrats their first potentially filibuster-proof chamber since 1979. Without a glint of amusement, he said that, no, "that's not how I see it. (I am) going to be the second senator from the state of Minnesota, and that's how I'm going to do my job."

But since Franken is likely to be a reliable soldier for Barack Obama - particularly during the impending Senate battles over health care reform, climate change, and the Sotomayor court nomination; and, in all likelihood, during subsequent battles over whether to repeal Don't Ask Don't Tell, to enact path-to-citizenship immigration reform, and to enact reforms making it easier for labor unions to organize - it's worth dwelling briefly on the significance of the Democrats' political victory. They dearly wanted to get 60 Senate seats and put themselves in a position to choke off Republican blockage, thus erasing one of the GOP's few remaining power options...and now they've gotten what they wanted.

But, as the saying goes, be careful what you wish for.

The expectations of success have just been ratcheted upward. From this point forward, if Senate Democrats screw things up, if they fail to move the key planks in Obama's policy agenda, they will no longer be able to make excuses. They won't be able to say, well, we simply didn't have the 60 votes to get things done. They own the chamber now, and that could potentially wind up helping the GOP during the 2010 election season. Republican candidates might be able to highlight perceived flaws in Democratic landmark legislation and claim that their own hands are clean. ("Hey, folks, don't blame us!")

But 2010 is a long way off. The immediate impact of Franken's ascent is that the expectations for Democratic success have been sharply raised. Liberal activists, in particular, have spent the last 20 hours insisting that Obama and the Senate Democrats now have a rare opportunity to stiff the nay-saying Republicans and bring on the changes sought by the '08 electorate.

It would not be a shock if this scenario fails to play out.

For starters, two Democrats (Ted Kennedy and Robert Byrd) are ailing, and therefore not necessarily available in the clutch. And there's nothing inherently magical about having 60 seats anyway. It's pivotal only if every single Democrat (plus the two Dem-leaning independents) sticks together, thereby providing the required votes to stop any GOP filibuster. The problem is, Democratic senators generally don't all stick together.

This is partly due to the realities of Senate culture; the place is populated by independent-minded egotists who are often more attuned to the economic interests back home than to the political priorities of their own president. Case in point: Democrat Ben Nelson of Nebraska has fought an Obama plan to overhaul the federal college loan program, because one of the big lenders that benefits from the status quo is based in Nebraska.

And in addition to Nelson, there are at least five other Democrats who hail from traditional red states that voted for either John McCain in 2008 or George W. Bush in 2004, or both. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, for instance, staunchly opposes any health care reform bill that would create a public option; indeed, liberal activists are now running TV ads against her, citing the fact that she has collected $1.6 million in campaign donations from the health and insurance companies. Meanwhile, both Arkansas Democratic senators, Blanche Lincoln and David Pryor, have been notably unenthusiastic about Obama's proposed health care reform and his landmark bid to cap greenhouse gases.

Unless Obama can somehow twist arms in the tradition of Lyndon Johnson, it's hard to see how he can herd the 60 cats. And not even LBJ, if resurrected today, could twist arms the way he did back in the Great Society heyday of 1965. Johnson cut deals with recalcitrant Democratic senators by putting pork projects in their districts, but those "earmarks" are politically verboten today.

The bottom line is that Democrats are notoriously prone to indiscipline - unlike the Republicans, by the way. George W. Bush reached the White House after having lost the popular vote, and he only had 50 senators on side; nevertheless, he and they governed in lockstep, acting as if he'd won a conservative mandate in 2000, and wound up enacting several major tax cuts. Republicans are simply better at taking direction from the top; by contrast, the last collaboration between a super-majority Democratic Senate and a Democratic president (Jimmy Carter) was a disaster.

Franken's arrival is already emboldening the Democrats' liberal wing. In an interview with The Huffington Post, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has thrown down the gauntlet, demanding that all 60 senators stand together now and pledge in advance to break any GOP effort to filibuster a health care reform bill that contains a public option.

He said: "I think that with Al Franken coming on board...the strategy should be that every Democrat, no matter whether or not they ultimately end up voting for the final bill, is to say 'we are going to vote together to stop a Republican filibuster.' And if (an anti-filibuster Democrat) ends up saying, 'I'm not gonna vote for this bill, it's too radical, blah, blah, blah,' that's fine. I think the idea of going to conservative Republicans, who are essentially representing the insurance companies and the drug companies, and watering down this bill substantially, rather than demanding we get 60 votes to stop the filibuster, I think that is a very wrong political strategy."

The stakes have gone up, expectations have been raised, and the Democratic base will be less tolerant of failure. The arrival of the Senate's first career humorist has actually lowered the prospects for comic relief.
 

 

Posted by Dick Polman @ 11:36 AM  Permalink | 55 comments
Comments   
Posted 08:06 AM, 07/02/2009
FrankMcCloud_in_48
Swedesboromike – you are so wrong on this it is shocking, what with all of the info out there for you to search. You want people to talk about Obama’s less-than 6 months policy effects – but refuse to acknowledge that the numbers you point to do not even reflect those policies in any way – they are a result of the Bush-era economic policies – none of which were created or implemented by the Majority Dems. The refusal of people like you and your Republican representatives in Congress who think they can get away with saying this all is happening on Obama’s watch – his 6-month old watch – are incredible (and by that I mean without credibility). The numbers of UE that we’re seeing today were long predicted by the highest regarded economists in this country – see Krugman (and spare me any “partisan” whines – he’s been exactly right on all things of the economy for at least 8 ½ years – please prove me wrong) – who has also been critical of the Obama Admin’s handling of much of the economic crisis (and of that I agree more so than not). What is a fact here is that you are pointing your finger and hollering “Obama - All Your fault” with an empty weapon, and you’re tossing me the ammunition to shoot you down by posting links to stats that you are either too stubborn and unable to comprehend or intentionally misinterpreting. Obama’s policies may not be perfect, but surely what has been in place has yet to have their full intended effect, and I will address Obama’s failing policies, whatever they may be, after year one. While I may have voted for him, I’ll still hold him accountable to what I invested in with that vote. But to hold him accountable for Bush era policy messes? No way.
Comment removed.
Comment removed.
Posted 10:48 PM, 07/01/2009
JimR
Smike, I agree big time. My feelings are based on my experience with Big Pharma (no, not as a user)
Posted 10:27 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
JimR- The lobbyists lobby those who are in charge. Committee heads etc. I know Republicans get painted as being influenced by big business but when you look at the facts big business lobbies whoever is in a position of power. Big Business aren't the capitalists we think they are. They are capitalists when it works in their favor. They are stateist when it works in their favor. Republicans, Democrats, it doesn't matter. They lobby and give money to whoever will protect their interests.
Posted 10:13 PM, 07/01/2009
JimR
Kennedy aside, the Pharm industry tends to be more friendly to the R's than the D's.
Posted 09:50 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Kudos to Chip Reid and Helen Thomas. This clip is worth a look. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2009/07/01/cbs_helen_thomas_challenge_gibbs_on_controlled_town_hall_meeting.html
Posted 09:41 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Wait until some uninformed Obama supporter tries to sell his house and finds out thanks to Cap and Trade he must do thousands of improvements in order to sell his house. The unfettered hijacking by the far left of the Democratic party will be it's demise. Wait until some not so wealthy Obama supporters see massive increases in their untility bills. Wait until the 260 million insured Americans lose their health care to a government run system. I think it is going to be a wake up call.
Posted 09:35 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
JimR- I wanna see Frankin address the Senate as "Stewart Smalley". That would increase the ratings at C-span.
Posted 09:21 PM, 07/01/2009
JimR
Smike, that's "professional" comedians. They're ALL a big joke.
Posted 08:53 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Why is it that no liberal wants to talk about Obama's record? It all harkens back to Bush bashing. What good has the stimulus done? Unemployment is rising not going down. Gimme something other than another dose of Bush Derangement tirades.
Posted 08:49 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Frank McCloud- It's just a fact. The unemployment figures were actually quite good during the Bush Administration. Obama's policies have stiffled the economy and hiring. Spin it anyway you want but unemployment has gone up since Obama was innaugurated not down. How do you explain it? Did you get your Obama tax cut yet?
Posted 05:53 PM, 07/01/2009
FrankMcCloud_in_48
Swedesboromike person – “warning” (LOL) welcome and Yes – please keep using that UE stats link – use it often as you want. Because you are so mired in your own BS that you are incapable of seeing how that link lines out a clear indictment of Republican/Conservative economic policies. Do you even understand what you are pointing to? The policies of the Bush-era Republican led Congress are directly and almost solely responsible for the current UE rate, beginning about a year ago (please detail the economic policies, or even just one, put in place by the Majority Dems that contributed to the current EU rates?) – Go look at – it’s right there on your coveted little link. And while you’re there, why don’t you correlate the other peaks in UE with the post-Repub Admin with Republican controlled congresses? Uh Huh – yeah – nice try fraud. Typical of what a clueless Repub will throw out there to deflect their lack of intellect or integrity. I can smell the BS you wallow in from here.
Posted 05:24 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Just want to warn all you liberal posters that you will continue to see this link. Unemployment for all of 2007 fluctated between 4.4% and 4.9%. Then what changed? Gee what is it? Oh thats when the liberal loons got control of Congress. anway here is the link. Libs hate those pesky facts so here you go. http://www.economagic.com/em-cgi/data.exe/feddal/ru
Posted 05:21 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
madmjojo- Don't let the facts get in the way. Here is a link to the month by month unemployment level. It has gone up by 2 percentage points since innauguration. Not exactly something to be proud of. Oh and did I mention it will be over 10% the next time the figures come out? Those darn facts are so inconvenient. http://www.economagic.com/em-cgi/data.exe/feddal/ru
Posted 05:18 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
Nigel, when did his position on Gitmo change?
Posted 05:16 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Madmojo- 4.24% is a great rate. Congrats. Just hope Obama doesn't conviscate your interest deduction.
Posted 05:14 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
I love the comment in Polman's article where he quotes one of the Senators from Vermont stating that Republicans represent the Insurance Companies. Rather amusing considering Ted Kennedy lead all Senators in contributions from healthcare providers. Teddy received 5 million from Aetna and Amgen. But as usual lets not let the facts get in the way.
Posted 05:13 PM, 07/01/2009
NigeltheMastiff
Vandy, that's why (his original positions on torture and Gitmo) I thought -- at first -- if he (McCain) were elected, it wouldn't be so bad. He seemed to be more moderate. But then he veered into Palinland and began some of the real neocon nattering. That lost me completely.
Comment removed.
Posted 05:07 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
"so cost effective and attractive to customers that it will drive the private insurers out of business" Come on, now! Cost effectiveness won't drive private insurers out, but a public option that can also set the rules and dictate pricing in a monopolistic manner will. With a public option, many employers will simply drop their plans and force their employees onto the option--there's no efficiency involved. Trust me, it ain't Amtrak's "cost-effectiveness" that prevents us from having multiple privately owned train travel companies, as they do in even the UK.
Comment removed.
Posted 04:55 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
"ACLU Accountability" Good grief; now THAT is an oxymoron.
Posted 04:55 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Madmojo- You lost me at ACLU Accountability Project. You are too funny. How's the Obama economy treating you? You like rising unemployment, record deficits, insurmountable debt? Oh I know keep Bush Bashing for the next 3 and a half years. That'll work. Right?
Posted 04:52 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Journeyhome- I will overlook the bitterness in your post and comment on the content. The immigration debacle is a good example of our governments inneficiencies. While it should serve as yet another example of why you don't need government meddling in healthcare you choose to ignore how inneficient government solutions are. I think if want to come here and work and be a US citizen it should be easy and quick. Republicans would do much better on this issue by repackaging the rhetoric.
Comment removed.
Posted 04:44 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Finally, a real comedian in the Senate.
Posted 04:36 PM, 07/01/2009
swedesboromike
Well, Al Franken is smart enough and gosh darnit people like him! No excuses now folks. Nothing can stop you from ruining the country. What I take out of it, is eventually the electorate will wise up and balance will be restored to the Senate. Those red state Senators are gonners when they are up for re-election.
Posted 04:35 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
And Nigel, he consistently said he would close Gitmo, in spite of what the "neocons" that every liberal on this board references thought, right?
Posted 04:34 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
"Perhaps the reason he went so far afield from the person he used to be while running contributed to his ultimate downfall." I would say that the fact that no Republican was going to win in 2008 was a greater contributor to his defeat.
Posted 04:21 PM, 07/01/2009
NigeltheMastiff
Well, Vandy, he was quite against that policy for a while -- probably until he wanted to court the neocons who were going to form the basis of his support for the presidential run. Perhaps the reason he went so far afield from the person he used to be while running contributed to his ultimate downfall.
Posted 03:59 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
"reunite korea" I thought the whole point of this new administration is that it's not the U.S.'s job to meddle in such affairs...
Posted 03:58 PM, 07/01/2009
Greg S
I know the role of the presidency has changed over the years, but since when is congress (regardless of which party is in the majority) supposed to just take marching orders from the president? Dick is a poli sci right? Should he know that while in the past several decades the president has taken it upon himself to set the agenda, that is not actually his job, its congress' job to legislate, to set the agenda and make the laws. If Dick is suggesting that congress should be nothing more than a rubber stamp for the presidential directive, we'll you might want to reread the constitution again.
Posted 03:57 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
"remember that McCain voted on Feb. 13 2007 (or was it 2008?) in favor of "enhanced interrogation." Such a silly term for something that is disgusting -- torture." Ever consider that perhaps someone who has experienced real torture is better suited to differentiate between honest-to-goodness torture and enhanced techniques than either you or I?
Posted 03:44 PM, 07/01/2009
JourneyHome
A recent study shows that people who attend church regularly are more supportive of a clear path to citizenship than immediate deportation of undocumented immigrants.¹ Another study indicates that more than two-thirds of the American public supports a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants.² Wait don't republicans go to church - why didn't the republicans fix immigration when they were in power, why didn't they fix health care when they were in power, why didn't they fix the environment, energy, miles per gallon, and education when they were in power - in fact what exactly did they fix in eight years - the economy, the middle east, reunite korea, they didn't do anything on our Citizens to do list...actions speak louder than words.......oh yeah there is on thing they fixed (us) - have you looked at your 401K lately thanks Ronnie er ah George, I mean W..............¹http://www.politicsdaily.com/2009/06/08/pray-more-open-borders/ ²America's Voice, Benenson Strategy Group Poll, 5/14/09.
Comment removed.
Posted 03:41 PM, 07/01/2009
NigeltheMastiff
Vandy, perhaps it's a small point to you, but remember that McCain voted on Feb. 13 2007 (or was it 2008?) in favor of "enhanced interrogation." Such a silly term for something that is disgusting -- torture.
Posted 03:23 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
"And now think about how much the contempt for the USA grew in the rest of the world during the Bush admin (remember the global celebrations when Obama won)......... go figure." Wait a minute. This isn't Honduras; Bush wasn't running for a third term against Obama. Obama's opponent was a decorated POW who, rather than being filled with hate for his captors, traveled back to Vietnam to extend the hand of friendship. If the world wanted the anti-torture candidate, wouldn't they have applauded the former POW who truly understood the horrors and was even more anti-Gitmo than Obama is? If the worldwide celebration was purely anti-Bush, then it would have occurred no matter who won.
Comment removed.
Comment removed.
Posted 02:07 PM, 07/01/2009
Vandy
Dick, I have to agree with your central point. It's a lot easier for moderate Democrats from the heartland to vote "yes" on things to protect themselves against moveon.org and other party bosses when they know there's an opposition-party safety net to prevent legislation from actually happening. Now, however, every vote counts and there are no excuses.
Posted 02:02 PM, 07/01/2009
tom - wilmington, de
Wasn't it ironic that the same person paying tribute to the troops for the job they did in quelling violence in Iraq was the same person who a little more than a year ago said..."it is time to admit that no amount of American lives and money can solve the political differences in Iraq causing the civil war". Isn't that ironic? It is also odd that all the people who posted here about the Bush admin supposedly silencing a NASA report about global warming are mum on the Obama EPA silencing a report contradicting their theory on global warming and CO2. Just like so many posted here about Bush firing 8 prosecutors over political differences but are mum on Obama going against the law he co-sponsored in firing Inspector Generals (3 to date) and informing another he now reports to the Treasury Secretary (the law stipulates they remain independent of the departments they are to audit/investigate/etc.). Where are all those people now?
Posted 01:48 PM, 07/01/2009
Phrossty
Thank you, DP. Well, the "Bush" decade is almost over, and good riddance, and far as I'm concerned. The 00's were simply 8 years of neocons thinking of nothing but themselves. No wonder we were unable to get together and solve any of the many serious problems facing our nation. Oh sure, some people did do some positive things in the 00's - like jogging - but always for the wrong reasons, for their own selfish, personal benefit. Well, I believe the 10's are gonna have to be different. I think that people are going to stop thinking about themselves, and start thinking about me, Al Franken. That's right. I believe we're entering what I like to call the Al Franken Decade. Oh, for me, Al Franken, the 10's will be pretty much the same as the 00's. I'll still be thinking of me, Al Franken. But for you, you'll be thinking more about how things affect me, Al Franken. When you read a news report, you'll be thinking, "I wonder what Al Franken thinks about this thing?", "I wonder how this filibuster thing is hurting Al Franken?" And you women will be thinking, "What can I wear that will please Al Franken?", or "What can I not wear?" You know, I know a lot of you out there are thinking, "Why Al Franken?" Well, because I thought of it, and I'm on TV, so I've already gotten the jump on you. So, I say let's leave behind the fragmented, selfish 00's, and go into the 10's with a unity and purpose. That's what I think. I'm Al Franken.
Posted 01:47 PM, 07/01/2009
tom - wilmington, de
He said: "I think that with Al Franken coming on board...the strategy should be that every Democrat, no matter whether or not they ultimately end up voting for the final bill, is to say 'we are going to vote together to stop a Republican filibuster.'....I guess Bernie forgot that the Democrats pushed through to pass health care using "reconciliation", meaning the Republicans cannot use the filibuster to stop it. All they need is 51 votes to pass health care...so they own it, and all the tax increases, deficits, rationing, and discontent from the people that come with it.
Posted 01:45 PM, 07/01/2009
Phrossty
I did not cross the line with that Farsi-speaking woman. No matter what the definition of "is" is.
Posted 01:33 PM, 07/01/2009
Fernando08
Wait wait, I was really gathering Arab speakers while in Brazil to help me with my future hiking in Iran, for diplomatic purpose, no line crossing. For real this time.
Comment removed.
Posted 12:53 PM, 07/01/2009
Fernando08
No, wait, that's not what I meant. What I meant to say was that I was out hiking in Appalachia. No wait, what I really was doing was flying off to Brazil for indie film festival where I can do the coochie coo with half naked women.
Posted 12:49 PM, 07/01/2009
Fernando08
Comrades, now is the historic moment to change the constitution and declare the glorious people's republic of socialist states in honor of the undefeatable will of the industrial proletariat in all matters foreign and domestic. The first order of business is the immediate liquidation of the parasite class of exploiters and the re-distribution of their wealth for material progress and equal reparations for crimes against the working class through out all of time. Without doubt, we have arrived at the historic synthesis technological productivity and political will to create the first stages of the dissolution of the state. Next, we detain and defang the counter revolutionaries, known by their stock pile of ammunition and weapons. Designated air cavalry in black helicopters will darken the skies as they cart away the obstructionists, the parasites and their paid agents. Finally, non stop university courses will be broadcast on the confiscated channels of the propagandists of false consciousness, the religious caste. These enlightening truths will re-educate the masses from a state of ignorant mystification. A dawn of new age of liberty will be upon us carried by the river of blood cascading through the gutters of new and better political economy.
Posted 12:37 PM, 07/01/2009
Multi-Grain
Hoo Boy! The rabid repubs are out in force today - must really, really suck to be them these days. And I cannot wait to hear how O'Reilly's head has exploded after promising his listeners that there was “no way this guttersnipe” would sit in the Senate … Ouch Falafel man. Anyway – you gripers are just too, too funny these days. Whining and complaining about nothing, with no substance, no logic, no ideas – very representative of your party’s ideology anymore. Boo Fing Hoo babies. You reap what you sow, no go back and sit in your corners with your thumbs in your mouths. You appear more intelligent that way.
Posted 12:32 PM, 07/01/2009
CD75
While you cannot expect liberal wanna be lawyers to know about the law, the democrat majority Minnesota Supreme Court "punted" on the case by only saying that the election board in Minnesota did not commit fraud. They never addressed the mid-course change in standards used by the board to find new votes for Al Frankenstein. By the way, the Sotomayer case on the fire fighters shows that she is more concerned about affirmative action than putting quality firemen on the street to protect people. Who do you want comming to save your life and home - 1) those that passed the test, or 2) those that failed the test, but got promoted anyway? Why does Sotomayer want substandard firemen protecting us?
Posted 12:31 PM, 07/01/2009
Master Dreamz
comrade, why dont you take it elsewhere? Or, better yet, come back with actual facts to refute what is said. Otherwise, quit the gibberish. This is an opinion blog, politically based. If you cant stand dissenting opinions from your own, start your own blog -- or go listen to Rush and friends.
Comment removed.
Posted 12:23 PM, 07/01/2009
mxlplk
They dislike it when the election is stolen as in 2000. When it is a fair election such as Franken's, no problem.
Posted 12:14 PM, 07/01/2009
jmc
I thought libs hated when politicians assumed office due to a judicial decision. I guess the new atitude is all part of the change Obama was talking about?
55 comments | View All | Paginate Comments
About Dick Polman

Cited by the Columbia Journalism Review as one of the nation's top political reporters, and lauded by the ABC News political website as "one of the finest political journalists of his generation," Dick Polman is a national political columnist at the Philadelphia Inquirer. He is on the full-time faculty at the University of Pennsylvania, as "writer in residence." Dick has been a frequent guest on C-Span, MSNBC, CNN, NPR and the BBC. He covered the 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004 presidential campaigns.

ARCHIVES

All commentaries posted before April 18, 2008, can be accessed at www.dickpolman.blogspot.com.