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Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Is the veep buzz for real?

 

Now that Barack Obama is embarked on his glitzy global tour, having already won the Nuri al-Maliki primary, the McCain people are quite unhappy with their predicament. During all those weeks when they were baiting Obama as a rookie with scant war-zone exposure, they apparently never figured out that, if Obama did go, he would surely garner an outsize share of public attention. So now, until Obama returns home, they're stuck with the onerous challenge of competing for the spotlight.

Thus far, they have been reduced to bitter fuming (aide Mark Salter said yesterday, "'The One' went to Europe, and homage must be paid"); ahistorical sputtering (McCain said yesterday that Obama has "no military experience whatsover," conveniently forgetting that Ronald Reagan, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and Woodrow Wilson didn't have any, either); and fact-free huckstering (a new McCain TV ad blames Obama for "rising prices at the pump," even though, in the world of factual reality, gas prices have been on the rise for 10 years, sparked largely by competing consumer demand in countries such as China and India - and besides, even if one is to accept the erroneous premise that U.S. senators control gas prices, hasn't McCain been a senator 18 years longer than Obama?).

But perhaps their most tantalizing bid for the spotlight concerns the choice for running mate. Yesterday, the veteran Washington columnist Bob Novak wrote that he had been told, by McCain campaign contacts, that the veep nominee would be publicly unveiled by the end of this week. Novak is derided in some quarters as "the prince of darkness," and liberal readers don't like him, but he does have good sources in the GOP. On the other hand, McCain sources (presumably, different ones) have hinted elsewhere that this week might be a bad time for a veep launch, since Obama's media footprint might squash theirs anyway.

Taken together, however, it's clear that the McCain people have pondered the idea. How else would they get on the public radar this week? And a glance at the calendar shows there are few other opportune times. The summer Olympics will suck up media oxygen from Aug. 8 to Aug. 24, and then comes the Democratic convention, from Aug. 25 to Aug. 28. If McCain waits on the veep announcement until the Democrats are done, he'll have only a four-day window until his own convention begins - and that window coincides with Labor Day weekend. And since there's always the possibility Obama might want to announce his own choice during one of the few remaining weeks before the Olympics, that factor further narrows McCain's timing options.

Therefore, just in case McCain decides to spring a surprise this week, here's my own list of the top-five possibilities. Like every other observer who is outside the tight circle of veep vetters, I have absolutely no inside info. But you don't have to be Charlie Black (the longtime Washington lobbyist-fixer who serves as McCain's uber strategist) to conjure the ideal GOP running mate resume. It's merely someone who can galvanize the Christian right, turn on the swing voters, compensate for McCain's self-confessed weakness on economic issues, shake things up by putting a new face on the Republican party (either via gender, or as a reputed reformer), and perhaps even help tilt a blue state. Quite a tall order.

So, in alphabetical order:

Marsha Blackburn, a three-term congresswoman from Tennessee. Playing the gender card would create buzz. She's a conservative Southerner (a staunch opponent of taxes, spending, abortion) who would help galvanize the conservative base, and perhaps help McCain among women in general. Foreign policy is not her forte, but McCain figures he has that covered.

Bobby Jindal, the Indian-American governor of Louisiana. He'd be a racial breakthrough for the GOP, potentially a big help in the year of Obama. He's a pro-life Catholic, which could help McCain with the conservative base, and generally with Catholics, traditionally a swing electorate. A former congressman who was elected governor last year on a reform agenda, he can talk fluently about domestic issues that tend to bore McCain, such as health care. McCain is slated to meet with Jindal this week, for what that's worth.

Sarah Palin, governor of Alaska. As the first woman to run that state, she's another potential mold-breaker. Like Blackburn, she has conservative credentials for the base (she has signed a lot of budget cuts, and she's a lifetime NRA member). She's enormously popular at home, typically drawing support from 85 percent of the citizenry. She's colorful and young (42). She eats mooseburgers, rides snowmobiles, amd smoked pot when it was legal in Alaska. And not that this matters at all, but she's a former beauty queen; in the words of conservative commentator Jonah Goldberg, she might help draw the voters of "visually unimpaired heterosexual men."

Mitt Romney. A safe pick, assuming that rascally flyboy McCain can find a comfort level with him. Romney can talk domestic economics far better than McCain. He's also popular with a lot of the evangelicals and Bush money donors who have yet to warm to McCain. Business leaders like him. He's also has family roots in Michigan, a traditionally blue state that McCain would dearly love to snatch from Obama. And he has never suffered a bad hair day.

John Thune. Again, if sex appeal on a McCain ticket is a necessity, then remember that this guy is as handsome as Romney. The reliably conservative senator from South Dakota sent Tom Daschle packing in 2004, and he reputedly has a better personal relationship with McCain than Romney does. And, at age 47, he's 14 years younger than Romney - a potential asset, if one assumes that McCain will put a premium on youth in a year when "change" is the predominant mantra.

All told, if McCain does choose one of my fave five, I want points for perspicacity.

On the other hand, you should know that, back in 2000, I never once imagined that George W. Bush would choose Dick Cheney. And when he did, I lauded Cheney as "a master of the S-word: sober, serious, solid, stable, steady, substantive and seasoned." How's that for full disclosure?

 

Posted by Dick Polman @ 11:33 AM  Permalink | 69 comments
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Comments
Posted by Calvin Jones & the 13th Apostle 12:40 PM, 07/22/2008
Isn't Jindal even younger then Obama?
Posted by bon 12:49 PM, 07/22/2008
Don't forget Fiorina. She would be a risk, but one worth taking in my opinion. ----- Also, McCain need not be worried. Any help Maliki did was undone by Obama in his disastrous ABC interview. I wonder what Maliki would think of Obama's position that the surge, despite its amazing results politically and militarily, and rescuing Iraq from the brink of chaos, was still a mistake? (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qBO5s8NUOxw)
Posted by yobill626 01:23 PM, 07/22/2008
Conservatives are acting like Malaki has somehow been deceived into siding with Obama. If Clinton had beat him, Malaki would be on her side. Don't you guys get it yet --- they want us out of their country. They've always wanted us out. Obama just happens to be on the right side of this issue (for them). No matter what Bush (or even McCain) has said, Bush's real Iraq strategy involves us never leaving. Why would there be so much focus (& money spent) on our constructing PERMANENT bases there?
Posted by bon 01:28 PM, 07/22/2008
Calvin: Jindal is 37, but he has worn a lot of hats in a short time. He was assistant secretary of health and human services, he was a congressman and he is now a governor. Despite being close to a decade younger than Obama, you could say he has accomplished more. :)
Posted by squintymc 01:28 PM, 07/22/2008
bon - ha, you wish. How about the press conference today? Please. I say he takes a woman, but of course, then Obama will pick Sebelius (which I think he will already). I think it would be extremely dumb to pick first and allow Obama to consider his choice with his own pick, but obviously, he doesn't have many options. I think he'll go with Romney since he provides a good counter to McCain's weaknesses, but I'm just not sure the public gives two hoots about Romney. A little handsome competition might help, however. (I would strongly warn McCain against selecting a beauty queen - doesn't he already have a bit of a reputation there? Plus, how will they ever pull the "Obama used drugs" card then?)
Posted by squintymc 01:32 PM, 07/22/2008
I'm also a little hard-pressed to understand why one year as Governor and three years in Congress is a "better resume" than three years as a US Senator and seven years as a state senator...aren't you GOPers supposed to be pro-state government?
Posted by bon 01:33 PM, 07/22/2008
yobill626: The Iraqi government was not calling for total withdrawal of US troops in mid-2006, when the country was on the brink of a civil war. Obama was, though. Obama said during the Democratic primary that not even genocide within Iraq was enough to warrant US military attention. It is a bit cynical for he and his supporters to now brag of their convergence in policy with the people they seem to have no interest in protecting from death.
Posted by bon 01:38 PM, 07/22/2008
squintymc: I am not sure I follow you. McCain has never brought up Obama drug use. (Though Obama supporters on blogs sure like to bring up Cindy McCain's struggles along those lines.) ----- Jindal does not have a long resume. It is objectively longer and more distinguished than Obama's, though. Fiorina is still my choice, but Romney would certainly be safer. ----- I doubt Obama has the guts to pick a woman who isn't Hillary. Hillary's supporters will see it as just another insult so there will be no advantage in it for him. Obama will pick a Dodd or a Biden or someone along those lines. As we have seen, Obama is not one to take risks.
Posted by squintymc 02:16 PM, 07/22/2008
No, he'll pick a Governor, which McCain would be wise to do as well. Sebelius is a fantastic pick and it wouldn't be for the benefit of Clinton supporters who can't get over it, it will be because she has a similar approach to governing and a strong executive resume, plus, she's popular in a red state. She's a boomer white lady too, after all, and I very much doubt that when all is said and done the so-called "feminists" who can't get over Clinton will reject a woman of Sebelius's stature. (BTW, the ranks of those hardliners are diminishing very quickly - I have a number of family members who had many a screaming match with me during the primary and they're over it...after this month, they'll be WAY over it. Or they'll write her name in. Which is fine with me.) Biden would be a solid choice, of course, Dodd would absolutely not be. I'll bet you $100 it will be Sebelius. The "Obama has no guts" argument seems a little thin at this point, no? How does that jive with the "who does he think he is" argument? Seems a little contrary to me...which is it? Is he a namby-pamby liberal or a self-absorbed jerk? Fiorina is really your choice? You like her successful resume? Really, with picks like this no wonder the GOP will have their hides handed to them in a few months. Of course McCain has never brought up Obama's drug use, he has a lot more class than that PLUS he wouldn't want to open that door for the very reason you mentioned (which I, as an "Obama supporter on blogs" haven't ever mentioned...in fact, I see it mentioned more by McCain supporters trying to call out Obama supporters for not being sufficiently lovey-dovey and "respectful" and it always seems to reference comments made on "other" threads - nonsense. No one needs that kind of smear to beat this guy, it'll come a lot easier than that.)
Posted by LJL 02:25 PM, 07/22/2008
McSame could dig up Abraham Lincoln to run with him and it wouldn't help.
Posted by tom - wilmington, de 02:54 PM, 07/22/2008
squintnyc, yeah, how about that press conference today. Why, he spoke so, um, er, uh, um, let me phrase that this way, let me, uh, er, um, wow, a lot of questions in there, uh...eloquently. Too bad they could not have put up a teleprompter, or taken his 300 foreign policy advisors who give him scripted answers every morning to possible questions on this trip with him. I loved the answer that Obama stated , and I paraphrase, that if he listened to his commanders on the ground and took their advice (which he said George Bush purports to do), then he would not be doing his job as Commander-In-Chief. This was after he said the surge was only successful because of the Sunni awakening and the Sadr cease fire...both of which took place AFTER the surge was announced and begun. Remember, this is from the party of Harry "this war is lost" Reid; Hillary "willing suspension of disbelief" Clinton, and Barack "the surge will not end violence, in fact it will only increase it" Obama. Funny how in January, 2007, Iraq was in the throes of a civil war, yet Obama wanted to out political pressure on them.
Posted by Gibba Mang 03:10 PM, 07/22/2008
McCain's risky call out of Obama's perceived inexperience on forgein relations has really backfired. Now, in an attempt to regain some of the lost juice, McCain's people are hinting at him revealing his VP is desperate at best. Neocons better get used to saying President Obama very soon!
Posted by amg 03:14 PM, 07/22/2008
"Objectively longer and more distinguished"? Really? Jindal didn't start in the public sector until 1996 when he was appointed to the LA Dept of Health and Hospitals where stayed until he was nominated and appointed to Asst Secretary of Health and Human Services in 2001. In 2003 he ran for Governor of LA and lost because he couldn't carry the traditionally red northern LA paris