On our cosmic holiday wish list, these items would surely rank high:
1. We'd love to be able to flap our arms and soar with the birds.
2. We'd love to be able to live forever, or at least until the Cubs win the World Series.
3. We'd love to see a rational, non-dysfunctional presidential nomination process.
Good luck on all counts. Nevertheless, we should probably give some props to the Democrats, who are at least exploring the idea of #3...even though the odds of them actually succeeding are quite slim.
Buried late last week, amidst all the coverage about Afghanistan and health care, was the news item concerning the activities of the nebulously named Democratic Change Commission. This party panel, created last March, is trying to overhaul the Democratic primary rules and calendar, for obvious reasons.
Though the 2008 nomination chaos now seems to be part of the distant past, roughly on a par with the Paleolithic Age, let us quickly recall that the party's front-loaded contests began on Jan. 3; that Florida and Michigan got penalized by the party for moving up their contests too early (thus rendering their primaries moot, while triggering protracted disputes between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton); and that it appeared for a long time that the contest would be decided by the unpledged party regulars known as "superdelegates" (20 percent of all Democratic delegates) who are not beholden to the will of the primary season voters.
Accordingly, the Democratic Change Commission intends to propose some fundamental reforms - such as delaying the opening contests (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina) until at least Feb. 1; ensuring that none of the subsequent contests take place before March 1; suggesting that all those subsequent contests be grouped "by region or sub-region"); and reducing the clout of the unpledged superdelegates.
Party leaders believe that this is an opportune time to reform their presidential nomination process, since 2012 is obviously not expected to be a contentious race on the Democratic side. Their wish list is to install a rational process in time for the open intramural contest in 2016. The commission said late last week that, all told, it wants to create "a deliberative process that benefits all voters and caucus-goers through the country."
A deliberative process that benefits all voters....hang on a second, that sounds vaguely familiar. Let me check my own story archives...yep, here it is, dated May 14, 2000. I had just returned from a trip to Indianapolis, where this time it was the Republicans who were trying to reform their own primary process. And the guy running the GOP reform group had just declared: "What we need is careful deliberation. We want more people involved in participating."
This Republican reform effort was a big deal at the time. After considerable brainstorming, the GOP panelists came up with the idea of scheduling a long, deliberative primary season that would start with the smallest states voting first and culminate with the biggest states voting last. They called on the Democrats to join them in this reform effort, but, interestingly, the Democrats spurned the offer and said in a statement that the existing primary process "seems to be working well."
Now the positions are reversed; today's Democrats are calling on the Republicans to join them in the new reform effort. But there's no way the GOP will do that, in part because party insiders remember what happened in the summer of 2000 - when the Republlican plan was swiftly squashed at the national convention in Philadelphia. There's no need to replay the details (the biggest states didn't want to vote last, stuff like that); suffice it to say that this kind of reform is nearly impossible, because everyone is always looking out for their own best interests.
Which brings us to the Democrats. The current reform effort will have to pass muster with the party's Rules and Bylaws Committee - which is entirely comprised of superdelegates...the same superdelegates whose clout would be reduced, if the reformers had their way. (By the way, the superdelegates were created 25 years ago during an earlier reform effort, in order to blunt the clout of "the people" and give party regulars more say.)
As for this idea of crafting a more deliberative Democratic primary season, by scheduling contests at rational intervals and grouping them "by region or sub-region," why should we assume that the states tapped to vote last would go along with that? Under the reform plan, state parties would be rewarded for their compliance, perhaps by giving them special perks at the national convention. But would this "carrot" approach work any better than the old "stick" approach? (The national party threatened to punish Florida and Michigan if they scheduled their '08 contests too early, but they did it anyway, and we saw the nutty results.)
So let us see how far this Democratic effort actually goes. It's certainly a noble gesture. But, as singer-songwriter Nanci Griffith croons, "If wishes were changes/ We'd all be in roses."
- Still Independent- From the last blog. Here is a copy of the last email. Honestly, you are delusitional............... Phil Jones, the head of the CRU, purportedly wrote the following to Michael Mann of “hockey stick” fame “I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline.”........... Yes I know. The sky is not blue and the earth is not round. Give it up already swedesboromike
- Still Independent- Your dismiss of these emails is bordering on the comical at this point. Global warming cheerleaders in the media were quick to defend the scandalous e-mails, explaining that, among scientists, the words "trick," "hide the decline" and "garbage" do not mean "trick," "hide the decline" and "garbage." These words actually mean "onion soup," "sexual submissive" and "Gary, Ind."
swedesboromike: if you wish to throw around "delusional", i would offer up "blissfully ignorant". See, you read something you agree with and you take it face value. If you read something you disagree with, you simply dismiss it and look for something that more aligns with your philosophy. I don't take ANYTHING at face value, and try and research anything I have time to. we can ignore the "trick" part of the argument, since NOTHING will convince you. (Yet I can't count the times that someone working for me on a project would say somethig like "here's a neat little trick I figured out to ..."). Anyway, not that you care, but here's the deal. This is all referring to tree ring data, an arcane and complicated field known as dendroclimatology (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dendroclimatology). From the 1850s (the first reliable temperature records) through 1980, tree ring data was directly correlated with temperature and lined up nearly perfectly. For some reason yet to be explained, from 1981 on, some tree ring data awould imply that temperatures in certain areas were LOWER than than they actually were. This is an objective fact; there are both tree rings as well as recorded temperatures. The "trick" is to substitute ACTUAL DATA for the "proxie" data. Now this may lead some in the field to go back and reevaluate proxie data for years past; this is a valid response. However, you don't care that "hiding the decline" IS NOT REFERRING TO TEMPERATURES. It's referring to substituting the proxie temperatures generated by the decline in the growth of tree rings with ACTUAL temperature data. I repeat, it is NOT referring to a decline in temperatures. Ironically, not doing this may lead to the conclusion that we have heated up MORE, since the past may be actually colder than was estimated. Oh, and this "secret conspiracy info" and the "trick" was all laid out in a published paper in 1998. still_independent
swedesboromike : "The sky is not blue and the earth is not round". This statement is indicative of a distinct lack of a science background. yes, that's what we teach kids in elementary school. the statement, as you have written is, is accurate. still_independent
Either of you guys check out the article on Yahoo today? This was the warmest decade ever everywhere in the world besides the U.S. and Canada. The problem with the neocons is it is out-of-sight, out-of-mind. A big issue with politics in this country is the primary process. If people felt involved from the beginning they would be more invested in the process and the policies later. Of course, due to my party registration, I can't vote in a single primary anyway. HandNik- swedesbm, capitalism is Americanism, the pentagon gladly will lie to the public to get into a war so they can retire to their no bid pentagon contracts and lockheed VP perks. The banks can loot the middle class by offering health savings accounts, credit cards, home equity lines of credit, car loans, college loans, insurance policies for everything and fees for taking cash and digitizing it and calling it a financial service. Oh yea, social security is bankrupt, medicare is a $29 trillion unfunded entitlement liabilitiy, government is a black helicopter garrison state tracking my every movement by USPS zip code satellites emitting mind control contrails into the drinking water supply. And the hoax that are stolen emails, doctored no doubt, and not even a study or evidence from one source among tens of thousands of research studies by hundreds of University for decades does not add up to more than a nothing that will not change the need to decommission the carbon fuel economy and replace it with a solar based energy system.
- Still Independent- Yes we know. What is up is now down. Trick doesn't mean trick at all. And hide means something else. Gotcha. You keep spinning. Are you going to the climate change pilgrimage in Copenhagen?
SPIN BORO MIKE said of other posters in his usual respectful manner: Nigel- give it a break. Stop acting like you live in 1920 Georgia......in your case the word lunatic comes to mind. Cheers Tal............JimR- Come on.. you are better than this.............Jimy- That is just your view of the world. Everyone is a victim.............Still Independent- Honestly, you are delusitional...............SPIN BORO MIKE: These are just a few of your recent reasons to prove your POV. Talvenada- In the USA Today they describe the Copenhagen summit as being like Disneyland for enviromentalists. Here are a couple excerpts from this story I would like to share with you. "The Danish government is working to address the concerns over the waste and pollution produced by the summitt".... for people so obsessed with carbon footprint could they not have done this by teleconference?....." when the summit is over the Danish government will calculate the enviromental cost. About 90% of it will come from the 20,000 delegates air travel aboard private jets"........mm? once again why no teleconference?..... And " one green initiative by the Danish government is to send dead bodies to crematoriums in groups instead of one at a time"....... mmmm? But of course all these delelgates have to fly their by themselves aboard private jets.... My last thought is that this global warming religion is very silly.
Dick, I assume you're writing about this non-story since the giant ponzi-scheme that is golbal warming is falling apart, right when delusional radicals are congratulating each other in Copenhagen. Can you imagine if the Bush EPA pulled a stunt like Lisa Jackson did today? So much for democracy tjm333126- Talvenada- I mis-spelled delusional. Sorry
swedesboromike : as usual, you answer nothing. You ignore the mountain of facts which disagree with you. Snarky is fine. I can appreciate snarky. But when you offer nothing else, it get's tiresome. still_independent
swedesboromike: "once again why no teleconference?" Have you ever worked in the business world? NOTHING gets agreed to over a teleconference. Listen I'm on telecons, videocons, WebX's, etc. every day. they're nice for informal discussions. they work well for discussing technical matters. they're great for intial pitches. No real agreements get made except in person. still_independent
swedesboromike: and one more thing. " they describe the Copenhagen summit as being like Disneyland for enviromentalists". No, a 23 year old French tourist descibed it that way. glad to know you think exactly like a 23 year old French man. still_independent
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