Web Search powered by YAHOO! SEARCH
TEXT SIZE: A A A A
Email this post | Back to Blog home
Thursday, May 15, 2008
Stepping on Hillary's news cycle

 

A mere few months ago, John Edwards was painting Barack Obama as a potential tool of the special interests ("Senator Obama has taken more money from the drug companies than anybody"), and as a risk-averse pol who deliberately ducked scores of important votes in the Illinois legislature. But today, all of a sudden, Edwards is saying that Obama is a reformist who will offer "bold leadership" and change the culture of Washington.

The Edwards endorsement is old-style politics as usual; in this time-honored scenario, a vanquished candidate plays the angles and decides it's high time to sing the virtues of the frontrunner, lest he risk being left behind as the train rumbles out of the station. Business is business.

But Hillary Clinton's people, being old-style politicians who clearly understand the conduct of such business, know full well that the Edwards' endorsement of Obama constitutes yet another body blow to Hillary's miniscule prospects. They grasp the political symbolism of this development, as well as its unfortuitous timing:

Edwards is a potential bridge to the populist white working-class voters who remain cool to Obama; however, I stress the word potential, because, as a running mate in 2004, he failed to deliver those voters or even his home state of North Carolina. Far more importantly, at this moment, his endorsement sends a message to the fence-sitting superdelegates that it's time to bring closure to this marathon competition. And it was delivered less than 24 hours after Obama's landslide loss in West Virginia, thereby invading the news cycle that the Clinton people assumed would be dominated by Hillary's victory lap.

It was also clear that the Clinton people were blindsided by Edwards' move; earlier in the day, they were reportedly sending assurances that Edwards intended to remain neutral. After the endorsement went public, they were reduced to uttering rote assurances of their alleged viability (campaign chairman Terry McAuliffe: "This thing is far from over"), even though it's likely that the endorsement will also boost Obama's delegate tally among regular delegates. Edwards won 18 during the primaries, and it's safe to assume that most will now move to Obama; indeed, at least six of Edwards' eight South Carolina delegates appear to be moving already.   

Edwards aside, however, I would argue that the bigger symbolic blow to Clinton was delivered yesterday by NARAL Pro-Choice America. It too endorsed Obama, thereby sending the message that even a prominent feminist abortion-rights organization, with strong sisterhood ties to Clinton, believes that her quest is futile. This endorsement is stark evidence that part of her base is beginning to erode. This endorsement is also the first major signal to liberal women that defeating John McCain (and preserving Roe v. Wade) should take precedence.

The Clinton camp was blindsided by this endorsement as well; Hillary sat for a series of broadcast interviews yesterday, fully expecting to preen about West Virginia - and, instead, she had to answer for NARAL. During her chat on NBC, more rote assurances ensured: "Well, obviously, I've - I am dissapointed because of the work I have done for many years...But we're going forward."

When the spin-savvy Clinton team is reduced to such sputterings, it's a fresh sign that the end is nigh.

 

Posted by Dick Polman @ 8:59 AM  Permalink | 19 comments
SAVE AND SHARE
Comments
Posted by tom - wilmington, de 09:22 AM, 05/15/2008
So Obama received the endorsement of a two time failed Presidential candidate, a failed Vice President candidate, and a one term Senator who could not even deliver his own state in 2004. WOW, this is an important endorsement. Like Richardson, who received a total of ZERO delegates during his failed presidential run, how big of a deal is an endorsement from a politician with such limited appeal?
Posted by anonymous 09:34 AM, 05/15/2008
It is a big deal because as Dick points-out Edwards holds 18 delegates plus one superdelegate.
Posted by SteveMG 10:31 AM, 05/15/2008
Edwards has something that Richardson, or any other superdelegate didn't have - pledged delegates. Edwards' endorsement was a big enough deal that Clinton was trying to get it, too.
Posted by p-diddy 11:09 AM, 05/15/2008
Obama picked up an endorsement from the United Steelworkers, who support Edwards. This is an important endorsement, because Edwards is known as a staunch ally of unions, and will help with Obama's popularity among blue collar whites. Edwards could have tipped this race if he had given his endorsement earlier, but it's still a pretty big deal. I wonder if Gore will endorse Obama before the primary elections are over.
Posted by suzym 11:41 AM, 05/15/2008
its funny .. i keep hearing that blue collar whites will eventually vote for obama ... how bout blacks .. would they vote for clinton if she is the nominee ... the polls say no ... well, why not?? was geraldine ferraro right?
Posted by frankg962 12:13 PM, 05/15/2008
So not to do too much analyzing here but if the nomination had been sewn up as HRC was contending in December by Super Tuesday, I don't think there would have been any question that African Americans would support HRC. However, having insisted post Super Tuesday that "it's not over" even now with all the math working against her, if HRC somehow gets the nod from the D's I wouldn't blame anyone for not voting for HRC. She and Bill have proven that they're only concerned with one thing, their own continued hold on power. They don't care about the democratic party nor the future of the country, otherwise HRC would suspend her campaign as Mittsy did so that the party could unite behind its presumptive nominee.
Posted by JeffA 12:31 PM, 05/15/2008
I heard an interesting commentary that I'd love to see your comments on - That Hillary staying in the race versus Obama is chewing through weeks of news cycles, effectively drowning out the McCain message. It was brought up that McCain has released some policy positions this week that were completely ignored due to the West VA primary and the subsequent endorsements. And that the longer the Democratic battle lasts, the shorter amount of time McCain has for people to get to know him and his positions. IMHO this is a brilliant scenario employed by the Democrats, but far too advanced for the strategists to think of and implement on purpose - but now that it's out there, they might have stumbled onto something. And it would be a positive spin on why Hillary keeps slogging away.
Posted by jsk 01:34 PM, 05/15/2008
Hillary, step away from the Rules and Bylaws committee members and come out with your hands up. You're completely surrounded and it's time to turn yourself in.
Posted by chazzbo 02:47 PM, 05/15/2008
Tom, while I clearly see your point, you keep forgetting that Democratic (as in party) politics this year are driven more by symbolism and style than any actual substance. The Ds have believed all along that they could run a dog turd in 08, and still not lose the election. And they're probably right. Personally, I'm thinking if they want a crack at it so bad, go for it. Inevitably, Americans remember (usually by the mid-term elections) why it is that Democrats earn so few opportunities in the White House.
Posted by Bender 03:26 PM, 05/15/2008
The important thing that you are missing is that if Obama wins this thing then edwards is the attorney general... and bush will be indicted.
Posted by Bender 03:26 PM, 05/15/2008
The important thing that you are missing is that if Obama wins this thing then edwards is the attorney general... and bush will be indicted.
Posted by James TL 03:50 PM, 05/15/2008
its funny .. i keep hearing that blue collar whites will eventually vote for obama ... how bout blacks .. would they vote for clinton if she is the nominee ... the polls say no ... well, why not?? was geraldine ferraro right? Posted by suzym ........ Don't kid yourself suzy....African Americans will do back to Clinton if she is the nominee you can book it! They voted in droves for her husband. No way are they going to vote for some old white guy who they perceive to be the same as Bush! I beleive Obama will get the nom though. I believe there are enough white people that will vote for anyone that will be different than George Bush. McCain will not be so therefore to get this stupid war to end and to turn around the economy they will vote for the other guy (person?).
Posted by ivb 04:27 PM, 05/15/2008
Dick indicates that the endorsement of NARAL was more important. Guess he hasn't been paying attention to the terrible organization NARAL has become. I gave up my membership years ago. They endorsed Lieberman over Lamont and have protected "moderate" Republicans in blue districts, frustrating Democratic prospects to advance pro-women issues. They endorsed Al Wynn over Donna Edwards. All this endorsing while doing very little to oppose the pro-birth lobby. If the leadership no longer wants to promote women's rights, perhaps they could work to support the rights of children who are actually born such as food and health insurance.
Posted by vc bear 06:08 PM, 05/15/2008
Edwards who?
Posted by p-diddy 08:27 PM, 05/15/2008
Bush trotted out the ole' "appeaser" label again. Keep it coming, Junior. At this point you're a Democrat's best friend.
About Dick Polman

Cited by the Columbia Journalism Review as one of the nation's top political reporters, and lauded by the ABC News political website as "one of the finest political journalists of his generation," Dick Polman is a national political columnist at the Philadelphia Inquirer. He is on the full-time faculty at the University of Pennsylvania, as "writer in residence." Dick has been a frequent guest on C-Span, MSNBC, CNN, NPR and the BBC. He covered the 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004 presidential campaigns.

ARCHIVES

All commentaries posted before April 18, 2008, can be accessed at www.dickpolman.blogspot.com.