Robert Draper Takes Me Back To The Future
I couldn't help but have some déjà vu reading Robert Draper's New York Times Magazine piece, Can the Republicans Be Saved From Obsolescence?
Robert Draper Takes Me Back To The Future
Ari Rabin-Havt
I couldn’t help but have some déjà vu reading Robert Draper’s New York Times Magazine piece, Can the Republicans Be Saved From Obsolescence?
It was eight years ago John Kerry had lost his campaign for President. Progressives were dismayed. For the next year we gathered at innumerable conferences to diagnose and fix our Party and our movement. Some of these efforts led to the creation of organizations – out of a small invitation-only gathering of online organizers at a retreat center in Maryland the New Organizing Institute was created.
Some merely built up social capital and created new networks on the left – the most memorable was a gathering that culminated in an all-night dance party DJed by Moby in the basement of his upstate New York home.
My favorite memory from those years was of a bipartisan gathering where a smug Karl Rove stood on stage and claimed to the audience that email lists -- this was the age before social media took off and email was the only real means of large scale online contact – were essentially meaningless and did not contribute to electoral success. I recall he even went as far as postulating after the event that Democrats exaggerated their online fundraising numbers.
The Republican digerati now meet at a “Russian bar in Midtown Manhattan, over Baltika beers” – we spent Sunday afternoons outside a dive bar called Townhouse Tavern in Dupont Circle.
And don’t forget the PowerPoints.
Rob Stein, former chief of staff at the Commerce Department during the Clinton administration’s presentation titled, “The Conservative Message Machine Money Matrix” led to the creation of the Democracy Alliance and the building of progressive infrastructure.
A second, less known, but influential presentation was given by Markos Moulitsas, the founder of DailyKos, at a Senate retreat in January of 2005. A Kennedy Center conference room full of Senators sat mouths agape as Markos methodically explained how attacks from local blogs, several of whom were paid by John Thune’s campaign, had helped defeat Tom Daschle.
Software failures?
While the Bush team created the much-praised “Voter Vault” database – the Kerry team was saddled with “Demzilla” – built by the DNC -- which contained no grassroots organizing tools. And yes that was its real name.
Across the party, in fits and starts, we got to work fixing deficiencies, building infrastructure and creating organizations. Think tanks were founded, advocacy organizations created, software coded, firms formed to service party needs, members of the digital class going to work within official parts of the Democratic infrastructure, and organizations that previously only worked outside the mainstream, now coordinated with it.
However, there is a difference between the fight Democratic online activists waged in 2005 and today’s Republican version as depicted in Draper’s article. In 2005, the status quo argument by conventional Washington was that Democrats needed to act more like Republicans. The retort was this is exactly what cost us elections in 2002 and 2004. It was outsiders – even those on the inside were outsiders – dragging insiders into building a more progressive Democratic party.
As Harry Reid prepared for his appearance before the first YearlyKos (now Netroots Nation) conference, one senior Congressional aide advocated that the Democratic leader should use the opportunity to “Sister Souljah” – he used that phrase -- the blogs – a reference to Bill Clintons speech where as a candidate he criticized the hip-hop star for a statement about the LA riots and her inclusion in Jesse Jackson’s Rainbow coalition. The idea was thankfully rejected.
A year earlier I had cautioned at a meeting that Joe Lieberman would face a primary battle from the left, one he would likely lose. I recommended he walk back from his extreme pro-war positions and work to highlight his environmentalism. This was rebuffed when I was told that there is no way another candidate would even get through the party convention in Connecticut, much less beat Joe Lieberman, who just five years earlier was the Party’s nominee for Vice President. A few months later Ned Lamont announced his candidacy.
During a meeting at the DNC in late 2005, a senior party official told me they didn’t believe that increasing our grassroots presence to raise online money would ultimately be good for the party because it would alter the constituencies the party was responsive too, shifting away from big donors, to a much more progressive grassroots base. I was literally in shock – this was Howard Dean’s DNC.
One strategist even suggested to me in the summer of 2006, Hillary Clinton should run her Presidential Campaign “against the blogs.” I almost burst out laughing. Do you really think voters in Iowa and New Hampshire really care about “the blogs?”
We had to contend with conservative Democrats, organizations such as the corporate-backed Democratic Leadership Council, and intellectuals at magazines like The New Republic who attacked us for the suggestion that getting out of Iraq was not only the right thing to do, but it was also the right political position.
Our mission was far esier than the one facing Draper’s Republicans. They need to win an inside battle, similar to the one waged by Democrats in 2005, while also pressing an outside fight against the Tea Party who threaten to make the GOP unelectable at the national level.
In 28-year-old GOP pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, Draper found the prefect representation of this conundrum:
“Later that evening at a hotel bar, Anderson pored over her notes. She seemed morbidly entranced, like a homicide detective gazing into a pool of freshly spilled blood. In the previous few days, the pollster interviewed Latino voters in San Diego and young entrepreneurs in Orlando. The findings were virtually unanimous. No one could understand the G.O.P.’s hot-blooded opposition to gay marriage or its perceived affinity for invading foreign countries. Every group believed that the first place to cut spending was the defense budget. During the whiteboard drill, every focus group described Democrats as “open-minded” and Republicans as ‘rigid.’ ”
A second example comes when The Blaze and MSNBC host S.E. Cupp laments:
“If we can get three Republicans on three different networks saying, ‘What Rush Limbaugh said is crazy and stupid and dangerous,’ maybe that’ll give other Republicans cover” to denounce the talk-show host as well.
Draper's article left me with the feeling that some of the Republicans profiled had become fooled by the false premise that the medium is the message.
Orca, the Romney campaigns failed voter mobilization software, could have been the greatest piece of coding since the Flying Toaster Screen Saver, but does anyone actually believe it would have closed a 4 point national vote gap or a 126 point electoral college victory? Likely no.
This isn’t to say technology is not critical. If I were a Republican I would be rushing to close the gaps – but becoming overly deterministic about its value is a recipe for failure.
Barack Obama’s Reddit chat was savvy. But the problem is not that Republicans don’t use Reddit, but that the community assembled there would be less than likely to accept candidates who don’t believe in basic science. (See Marco Rubio on the age of the Earth.)
The Internet doesn’t make it rain – it makes buckets that catch rain.
Another way of putting that is – if you build it they won’t necessarily show up. Barack Obama is a uniquely appealing candidate for the Internet age. His message in 2008 as articulated in his announcement speech -- “This campaign can't only be about me. It must be about us -- it must be about what we can do together. This campaign must be the occasion, the vehicle, of your hopes, and your dreams” – is tailored perfectly to the Internet age. Barack Obama’s online team was able, and this was no easy feat, to take all of this potential energy and convert it into kinetic energy. In political terms, that means money and mobilization. This was the genius of Obama’s Internet team.
Neither Mitt Romney nor John McCain were candidates with the potential energy to fuel an online groundswell. This is another challenge Republicans face – the very candidates that could excite the grassroots come from the Tea Party wing of the GOP.
At the same time, Democrats should not be cocky in victory. The pendulum could easily swing back the other way. We soon forget that the candidate to make the most successful use of the Internet in 2000 was John McCain, who fueled his campaign with online contributions after his New Hampshire primary victory. Just as Karl Rove’s dreams of a permanent Republican majority came crashing down, hubris could lead to a Democratic defeat.
Additionally, partisan victories come easier than ideological ones. Many on the left, who fought these battles in 2005, still feel left out in the cold in terms of actual policy change from Washington.
The history of elections is like the history of wars. Winning generals receive too much credit, losing ones too much blame. Washington Post columnist Ezra Klein succinctly summed this up in a piece about House of Cards:
“All parties and groups are fractious and bumbling. But everyone always thinks everyone else is efficiently and ruthlessly carrying out complicated plans. Partisans are very good at recognizing disarray and incompetence on their side of the aisle, but they tend to think the other side is intimidatingly capable and unburdened by scruples or normal human vulnerabilities. And there's so much press interest in Svengali political consultants like Karl Rove or David Plouffe, all of whom get built up in the press as infallible tacticians, that the place just looks a lot more sophisticated than it really is.”
That kind of puffed-up beltway sophistication can lead politicos to outsmart themselves. Amid their two-fronted civil war, Republicans would do well to acknowledge that the basic flaw with their political recipe is in its main ingredients, rather than merely applying new finishing touches.
The professor gets his history lessons from the Cato foundation. That's like buying your house at Wal-Mart. carl and sons
The sooner the republic party and the cretins who use it to infest our society are disappeared off the face of the earth, the better chance the rest of us will have to undo some of the damage the right has done to this country, and the world.
And yes, the GOP has ridden that Klan horse all the way to its position of power today. What the rubes who support it do not realize is that the 1%, those who actually own them and rule us all, do not give a damn about race or gender or sexual orientation or religion or any of the social issues they use to sucker the bigots into voting for their own destruction.
It is all about how much MORE money they can accumulate at the expense of those who actually do the work and produce their profits.
You will never be allowed into their country club - they just want your vote and campaign contribution that they then use to offshore your job, steal your pension, and pay for the avarice they crave in THEIR lives.
Personally, I don't care if you suffer. But there are millions of good people who also are victims of the wealthy elite you so stupidly worship. JeffJenk- If not for the commentors who trip over themselves to curse the ("Urban") Philadelphia Wax Museum but who ignore the ("Suburban") Bucks County 1.2 million dollar corruption, if not for such facts the GOP Republicans along with Ronald Reagan would have been forgotten in 1964. Cuddles
I really hope the GOP can return to the center. As an independent, I for one hate voting for a single party and do indeed miss voting for GOPers that are sensible. However, I cannot and will not vote for politicians who cater to a bunch of right wing nuts like some of the folks who post on this site Chemist1524- It's really necessary for ou democracy to survive to have at least two responsible governing parties. The pubbies have been slowly abdicating that role since 1994. I hope they can get it back together before it's too late, though I have my doubts.
carl and sons
Let's see.... the Right gave us 9/11 (Bush ignored the numerous warnings), the repeal of Glass-Steagall (signed by Bill Clinton), deregulation of the financial sector, wars and prescription benefits paid for with borrowed money, 800,000 jobs lost MONTHLY in late 2008, and a financial sector that almost took down the world. In 2012 we were entertained by "legitimate rape" and "some girls rape easy."
Good times. I can't wait to go back. Bruce in NM
Yes for now. The next 9/11 that occurs and you know it's coming eventually, even the boobus American voter will see it's time to swing back to the Right. MilesLong1
ZZZZ. Just more partisan drivel taken from the likes of The Puffington Host or MessNBC. The lefist tabloidization of the Inky continues. CD75- This comment has been deleted.
bowersNRAnut - See bowers (aka Master Commander aka Radnor Chester) has to insult everyone b/c he has no argument.
Professor1982 - So, CD, are you saying the article is fictitious? There's been analysis everywhere about the problems in the GOP and their swing to the far right. So what's partisan in the article? Provide some quotes and be specific about the partisanship.
dctwmt
I knew from day one that the Tea Ba... ahem, I mean Tea Party was going to backfire on the GOP. Two years after their rise in the congress, America and the rest of sensible, sane Republicans have become fed up with their ilk and their obstructionism. Once they get exorcized from the GOP, we'll finally get some progress done and end the non-stop manufactured crises that have plagued Washington since their entry into politics. daxtremesolja- People like Gingrich, Rove, Cheney are all history. RINOs are a dying breed.
The people like Rubio, Paul, Jindal, Perry, Cruz and the Tea Party are the future and biggest threat to socialist Democrats. Professor1982 - Capitalism can't surivive on its own genius. Aspects of socialism are one of the roots of this nation. BTW, I have a secret for you genius.....the world socialism isn't a bad word. It's part of what made this nation the "United State of America" Einstein.
bowersNRAnut - Sure it can and did so for over 150 yrs prior to 1913. In fact, these was the time of greatest fiscal growth the US experienced. All the "rules" today do is protect the powerful and enslave the weak.
Here's another example, Andrew Jackson(D) was the only President whom outlawed central banking and then proceeded to preside over a country that had no debt and the greatest amount of individual freedom the country every experienced. Professor1982 - "and the greatest amount of individual freedom the country every experienced."
I like how you conviently left out the part where people were free to own slaves. daxtremesolja - And it was a REPUBLICAN that freed them, wasn't it?!?
Thanks for T'ing that one up for us! Professor1982 - Actually it was a northern Urban politician who believed in a strong central government and who instituted the first income tax.
Meanwhile it was Woodrow Wilson, a Democrat from the then Rural Garden State, who reinstituted segregation in the Washington DC Post Office. Cuddles
"...the most memorable was a gathering that culminated in an all-night dance party DJed by Moby in the basement of his upstate New York home." Is this the same party that's all for the common man? everydayguy
**** *** **** ** ******* ******? *** ***** ******* ** **** ** *** ** *** **** ** ***? Another_1- Sooner or later the H********** will have to accept the N****** . Maybe then we will stop seeing *'s Cuddles
- Cuddles - Sounds an awful lot like that failed state called the Soviet Union, lol!
Professor1982 - Democrats can point to 1933 - 1963 to prove that Democrat policies are good for the Middle Class.
What time period can Republicans point to that Republican policies benefitted the Middle Class? Cuddles - Taxes WERE cut and government IS starving.
NOW people slowly realize that they actually do like government...even if they have to share with "July 2, 1964".
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
SAD AMERICAN FACT: Rural America loved (LOVED) socialist Roosevelt democrats until July 2, 1964.
When that fact is finally dealt with the GOP Republicans will become the Whigs. Cuddles - FDR stole Hoover's New Deal (1) then screwed it up by implementing disastrous programs which not only expanded the size of government and turned America into a debtor nation in perpetual debt to creditors and bankers around the world but also extended the Great Depression by 7 yrs(2).
(1) http://www.cato.org/publications/briefing-paper/herbert-hoover-father-new-deal
(2) http://newsroom.ucla.edu/portal/ucla/FDR-s-Policies-Prolonged-Depression-5409.aspx Professor1982 - 1933 - 1963: With Roosevelt policies the Middle Class grew with exponential speed as opposed to 10 years after World War ONE.
As the sun set on the British Empire decades ago, the American government is the only western government to survive 1929...I am proud of that.
Can you point to a 30 year period where "free market" policies expanded the Middle Class with exponential speed? Cuddles - Cuddles you are just completely ignorant of history aren't you?!?
The ONLY reason the Middle Class grew from 1945 to '63 was b/c of the aftermath of WWII and reconstruction of Europe. It had NOTHING to do with FDR or his policies. In fact, FDR who stole much of the New Deal from Hoover, suspended all Unions and strikes, fixed all wages, fixed prices and fixed supply lines just to support the war effort.
One cannot prop up the Middle Class by borrowing against its future then enslaving it to massive taxation b/c you mortgage its future to the hilt.
But I wouldn't expect someone that's never built anything or risked anything to know that. Professor1982 - WWII and the reconstruction of Europe: Government spending on steroids.
Yes FDR suspended all unions and strikes. That's why there was the CIO and the UAW, and why US Steel, GM,Chrysler and hundreds of other companies unionized during the Roosevelt years.
What have you ever "built or risked"? Let's see your qualifications to characterize oithers. carl and sons - So if World War TWO saved America what happened after World War ONE?
Also beyond Reagan redefining debt/deficit and running from Beirut and the most elected president in American history, what president do you admire?
Of course the main premise of this story seems to escape you the GOP Republican party is in disarray and Americans are increasingly opposed to shutting down the government and/or holding it hostage.
The whole theory of GOP Republicans, small government, is in question and per the proof of history government will only get better. Cuddles
This comment has been deleted. Philadelphia Cricket Club- Would you like some cheese with that whine?
daxtremesolja - You know come to think of it, the Republican Party has more immigrants in it than the Democratic Party does???
And even the Tea Party is more open to immigrants and minorities than the Democrats are.
How ironic!!!
When was the last time Nancy Pelosi was in Oakland?!?!
Right, lol!!! Professor1982 - There's Dax again, providing no valid information or quantifiable facts.
Under Obama and Democrats:
A) US National Debt exceeds $16T ($6T of which is Obama's alone)
B) US Unemployment rate is STILL greater than 14%(U6)
C) US is assassinating it citizens abroad using drones
D) US is attacking the 2nd Amendment leaving only govt and criminals able to defend themselves.
E) First US downgrade of its National Debte ever.
F) Clinton (D) repealed all the financial regulations FDR put into place resulting in the crash in 2007.
G) Under Democrats regulations, Frank (D) & Dodd (D), lenders were encouraged to expand predatory sub-prime lending.
H) Obama signs NDAA which allows the US military to indefinitely detain US Citizens for any reason without benefit of trial.
I) Multiple MULTI-BILLION $$$ STIMULUS and nothing to show for it.
J) GAS PRICES!!!!
K) SCHOOL TUITION!!!
L) Central Bank is printing $4B in new cash everyday which is not backed by anything...just to finance Obama's and Democrats worthless programs and socialist agenda...
But that's ok...people like Cuddles (a tax deadbeat), Dax, Jonline, Kilgore, Jeff West etc all want you to think the Government knows best and you know nothing and need to be taken care of and treated like a child. Professor1982 - BTW, I failed to mention that under Obama:
1) Medical insurance premiums have risen
2) Over $1T in new taxes (payroll and medical devices) have risen on the poor and middle class
3) US Debt to GDP is at 101% which is worse then many European countries
4) Homeland Security has just put in a bid to secure over 1 BILLION rounds of ammunition or equivalent to 33 yrs of war measured at the rate ammo was used during the height of the Iraq Conflict.
George Bush was incompetent...Obama is criminal. Professor1982 - And there's Professor with his wall of text of hyper-partisan "information" that has nothing to do with this article.
And just for clarification, I was calling out Cricket Club's empty comment, calling it for what it was. daxtremesolja - It has EVERYTHING to do with the article.
FACTS ARE FACTS and you cannot dispute any of them. Professor1982


