Web Search powered by YAHOO! SEARCH  

Currents   

share
email
print
font size
options
 
Governor-elect Christopher J. Christie tried hard to ignore personal attacks on him during the campaign. He was convinced, quite correctly, that the economy was the real issue.
ELIZABETH ROBERTSON / Staff Photographer
Governor-elect Christopher J. Christie tried hard to ignore personal attacks on him during the campaign. He was convinced, quite correctly, that the economy was the real issue.
RELATED STORIES
 
Michael Smerconish: Fear of offending is a threat to us all
 
Worldview: Bypassing the Karzai problem
 
Dick Polman: GOP changed tune on health-care mandate
 
Why did Obama think he could change things?
 
Phila.'s future bright if it retools tax policies
 
An insider's view of Christie's N.J. victory
 
Back Channels: Her mission: Serve the troops who serve U.S.


An insider's view of Christie's N.J. victory

During "that roller-coaster ride," the campaign focused on independent voters, and the issues.

Russ Schriefer

was the media consultant for Republican gubernatorial candidate Christopher J. Christie

It was somewhere off the New Jersey Turnpike, Exit 4, I think, sitting in a dark room looking through a one-way mirror, eating bad food and too many M&Ms; something was happening I hadn't seen in a while. The group of independent voters we selected for this focus group didn't run screaming from the room when we mentioned former President George W. Bush and Christopher J. Christie in the same sentence, and they didn't swoon when President Obama embraced Gov. Corzine. It was then we knew we had a chance.

On Nov. 3, Christie was elected the 55th governor of New Jersey - the first Republican to be elected to statewide office since Christine Todd Whitman in 1997. And while Whitman and her GOP predecessor, Gov. Tom Kean, won their initial races in squeakers, Christie was elected by a margin of more than 100,000 votes.

So at a time when New Jersey is dark blue, why was Christie able to win?

We learned at the focus group that, for the first time in five years, independents were open to a Republican message. After the 2004 election, independents stopped listening to Republicans. It reminded me of arguing with your kids who start screaming, "You're not listening to me!" And they're right, you're not.

This summer, when Christie led Corzine by 12 to 15 points, we knew the number was inflated. Many voters, some who had never supported a Republican, would ultimately support the Democrat. And while it was certainly stomach-churning to watch a double-digit lead shrink to almost nothing, Corzine's support never grew. Roughly 40 percent of the electorate supported him in our first poll and only slightly more supported him in our final survey. However, throughout that roller-coaster ride we kept our eye on independent voters and where they were headed.

Just as important as the political environment being "open" to electing a Republican was the candidate and his message.

For seven years Christie earned a stellar reputation as a U.S. attorney, convicting more than 136 public officials on corruption charges. His work earned bipartisan praise, even from Corzine. We believed from day one that Christie's record as an independent crime fighter gave voters the permission they needed to believe he could change Trenton, particularly with taxes and the economy. This summer, when an FBI raid brought down numerous public officials, it was less about corruption and more about New Jerseyans once again being disappointed by a state government out of control.

In a time of economic uncertainty, voters, particularly independents, cared more about New Jersey's status as the highest taxed state in the nation than about Christie's driving record or his weight (both of which were subjects of Corzine ads). By focusing on the economic message and not getting distracted by launching retaliatory personal attacks on Corzine, we kept talking to voters about issues they cared about.

Only once was the campaign drawn off its economic message. Since we were being outspent more than 31/2-to-1, we couldn't respond to every attack from Corzine. It was only when he started running an ad claiming Christie would take away mammograms for women that the campaign responded. We saw, both through polling and anecdotally, that this particular noneconomic message was hurting us with independent women.

And while there was an internal debate as to the form the response needed to take, it was quickly shut down by the candidate, who strongly believed he needed to answer the charge himself. He was right. Christie's mother was a breast cancer survivor and his outrage over the governor's attack was genuine. After running Christie's response, we started to see our numbers stabilize with women, independents, and moderates.

Chris Daggett, the third-party independent candidate, eventually became the wild card, serving as a placeholder for disaffected voters while they chose between the two major-party candidates. While some polls had Daggett garnering 20 percent of the vote, we knew that wouldn't last, and it was just a question of how fast he would sink and where his voters would land. Under scrutiny, his tax plan was unsustainable, he had little funding, and finding him on the ballot was like playing "Where's Waldo?"

On Election Day, Daggett got less than 6 percent of the votes, and, according to exit polls, Christie won independents by 30 percent. He won in the suburbs, which have become so elusive for most Republicans this decade, and he won with voters who said the economy, property taxes, and corruption were their most important issues. A year ago, many of these same voters supported Barack Obama and his message of change, but this year, they switched to Christie. Confusing? Not really. They're called independents for a reason - winning them over is that easy and that hard.


The article originally appeared on politico.com.

  • Top Jobs
  • Top Homes
  • Top Cars
 
SEARCH JOBS
Southwark


$5,250,000
615-17 FITZWATER ST
Pennypack


$154,900
2727 RHAWN ST #23AB
SEARCH CARS

Buy Inquirer, Daily News & Philly merchandise here including:

 
Books
 
Movies
 
Page Reprints
 
Photo Licensing
 
Photos