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Governor-elect Chris Christie (center) speaks with Newark Mayor Cory Booker yesterday.
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John Baer: Hope, change, and the reality that 365 days brings

A YEAR AGO today, a nation fearing a crumbling economy and weary of war awoke to new expectations after electing Barack Obama on a premise of hope and a promise of change.

The youngish Illinois senator's victory, historic because of his color, emphatic because of its scope, offered more than a new administration. It offered a new beginning.

He won a majority of the popular vote (53 percent to John McCain's 46), a majority of the electoral vote (365-173) and a majority of states (28-22). More than 100 major newspapers endorsed him, 30-some endorsed McCain.

At a time when so many believed that the nation was headed in the wrong direction, so many also believed that Obama could alter its course.

On Election Night, he stood in Chicago's Grant Park and said, "If there is anyone out there who doubts that America is a place where anything is possible, who still wonders if the dream of our founders is alive in our time, who still questions the power of our democracy, tonight is your answer."

What a difference a year makes.

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll shows that for the first time since Obama took office, a majority of Americans (52 percent) see the nation headed in the wrong direction again. This is much less pessimistic than just days before his election, when the number was 76 percent.

But a CNN/Opinion Research Poll shows a majority disapproving of Obama's handling of the economy, health care and Afghanistan. Clearly his promise and the hope he instilled are diminished.

Holding Rose Garden beer summits, fighting Fox News, offering donors White House bowling, movie nights and presidential golf outings don't help; they smack of politics as usual.

Democratic losses Tuesday in New Jersey, Virginia and Pennsylvania are spun as tales of anti-Obama Republican resurgence.

All this at a time of challenge on four major fronts: the still-worrisome economy, the ongoing war, health-care reform and government response to swine flu.

The danger for the president and the nation - beyond the politics of the moment, even beyond the impact of the issues - is that Americans sour on democracy, grow more cynical of government and doubt that those they elect can make any difference.

This is especially so for younger voters who helped Obama win the White House. As they see likely expansion of a war they voted to end, watch unemployment rise to 10 percent (it was 6.8 percent last November), witness partisan health-care battles and wonder what happened to change, there's a risk that they walk away.

"I am concerned about that," says Temple political-science associate professor Michael Hagen. "There's not much that's occurred to persuade them that politics has changed in the last year. I don't know what I'd tell them other than, this is a system set up to make sure nobody can take over and make wholesale changes fast."

Is America ungovernable? Is Obama trying too much? Or is it just that governing is a ton tougher than campaigning?

Notre Dame political-science professor Darren Davis specializes in political psychology and public opinion.

"There was and is no long leash for this president, more so than other presidents," Davis tells me, "partly because of polarization in Congress and the nation, partly because of race and vehement opposition to his election, and partly because of his age and perceived inexperience."

But Davis says that an "artificial high" accompanied Obama's election, and, while it's "absolutely correct" that enthusiasm and energy around his presidency has subsided, it's too soon for broad conclusions.

I guess. Except, I'd suggest, for this: Things aren't what a majority of Americans hoped for one year ago today; and "yes we can" is starting to sound more like a question than a rallying cry. *

Send e-mail to baerj@phillynews.com.

For recent columns, go to

http://go.philly.com/baer.

Comments   
Posted 07:55 AM, 11/05/2009
Carl07
It doesn't take much thought to see why Obama's popularity has dropped in the past year. He campaigned from the center and has, with the exception of Iraq & Afghanistan, governed from the far left.
Comment removed.
Posted 08:14 AM, 11/05/2009
Philly_Steak_Kid
BHO will continue his path toward making DemocRATS political pariahs. Another year or two and the Dems will be doing the "Arlen Specter" to get away from him. All we have to do is survive till then.
Posted 08:46 AM, 11/05/2009
Obama Gonna Git You Sucka
All sizzle.....no steak. What do you expect? We elected an ACORN "community organizer" from the cesspool of Chicago corruption.
Posted 09:17 AM, 11/05/2009
bill at
Campaigned from the center, governing (at least fiscally) from the extreme left. The 'Beer Summit' was all about Obama displaying his own racial biases that we were told were now behind us. He'd rather be golfing than making a decision on Afghanistan. And he seems to daily act like a petulant child by blaming his 'plight', in the job he said he wanted, on other people. Not exactly a profile in courage. The wonder is that his polling numbers aren't totally in the gutter, but they will get there if he doesn't grow up and start acting like a responsible adult and leader soon.
Posted 11:47 AM, 11/05/2009
MikeP
If you want Obamma to produce results, give him a larger majority in the Senate and House. Republicans have no ideas. They are the do nothing party. Core Republican principles got us into this mess and they have not changed at all. Corzine was not a good govenor so voters made a change. But there's zero chance the Christie will deliver on his campaign promises. He doesn't even have a plan. He's just not Corzine. If Obamma is governing from the extreme left, why do all of the polls show both the majority of Republicans and Democrats support his policies. The truth is the country is more left than Republicans would like us to believe. Heck, a bunch of Republicans voted for a Democrat in NY 23. That's was no more a statement on Obamma than NJ or VA. Democrats are pariahs? Yeah, ok. Polls are showing that only 20% of those polled identified themsleves as Republicans. Talk about pariahs. Republicans still have not come to terms with the changes they need to make. If you think Obamma's support is declining, take a look at the polls for Republicans.
Posted 11:52 AM, 11/05/2009
PAEnglish
He reminds me more and more of Tony Blair , says one thing does another , tells a lie gets found out and spins and spins until the lie beomes the truth . Blair has helped grind Britain into the dirt I hope Obama doesnt manage to do half the damage
Posted 11:53 AM, 11/05/2009
junethe4th
People are starting to realize Obama is just an empty, talking suit. The change we've seen is that Chicago politics have now been elevated to the national level. The hope is that it will not cost us $20 to buy milk and bread next year.
Posted 12:36 PM, 11/05/2009
CD75
It is not the reality that stopped Obama - he was liar from the start. People will believe anything.
Posted 01:02 PM, 11/05/2009
John Gualt
Obama says the recession is over, everything is returning to normal,Go Spend, spend, spend! Nothing has been fixed, just (some) banks bailed out. Meanwhile 117 bank failures so far this year (and about 400 more waiting in the wings until the FDIC can make good.)Wanna see a real financial debacle? Just wait until the coming credit collapse and the coming commercial property collapse. And if the RATgress manages to pass the "health" "care" bill (cost = $zillions) or cap-and-plunder, then the force-5 hurricane will be here sooner than quicker.
Posted 01:07 PM, 11/05/2009
John Gualt
Both the credit and CRE collapses are underway. I feel for the folks who didn't see this coming years back. Dollar issues loom from our creditors as well.America's toast as long as O and this Democrat Congress are in power. There's STILL so much more bad yet to come, but few realize it or even want to contemplate it. This is no cyclical shift, waiting for correcting winds to bring forth good jobs. They're gone forever. We're completely dependent on govt. largesse to keep the masses at bay. It's still going to get uglier. Vote Democrat its eaiser then working.
Posted 02:06 PM, 11/05/2009
phillysmart
Another Vanilla article...the guy portrayed himself as a moderate governing for the people..in reality he is a far left radical that is trying the same failed policies from the 60's and 70's...people are wise to it...thats the difference here ..please he is being criticized no more than any other presiednt ...in fact they criticized bush, clinton and others more because they aren't black
Posted 06:17 PM, 11/05/2009
tr88
Mike, Obama. One M.
Posted 11:32 AM, 11/07/2009
Phil Checchia
MikeP... I had to read your post a couple times. You are a very ill informed person. We are in this economic morrass because of housing. Please go back to 1999, check on the policy that Bill Clinton instituted. That anyone that wanted a house should be able to have one, regardles of whether they could make the payments. He told Janet Reno to enforce the policy, force banks to give the loans or face the consequences. Well, that along with Chris Dodd and Barney Frank blocking any corrections to this policy did in the economy. Democrats still haven't learned, they are still doing it, they're giving poor people $8000 to buy homes now. Lets help the poor by giving them jobs to buy homes, not giving them homes they cant afford. Obama not a leftist, wow, Mike what are you smoking?
Posted 09:19 AM, 11/08/2009
Phil Checchia
The D's passed their health bill overnight. ALL UNION MEMBERS, pay attention to the new taxes you will have to pay for your Cadillac health care coverage. I cant say I feel sorry for you, because you voted for Obama, and you get the government you voted for. It's only right that those that elected him feel the sting of this insanity.
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